Part of: LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,900.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

23-wallet T1 conviction cluster

A large 23-wallet T1 cluster coincides with a 423x volume spike and includes multiple highly profitable bettors, making this a strong directional esports signal.

23 wallets put $70,256 into T1, while the market saw a 423x historical volume spike.
Several participants have exceptional records, including a bettor winning 90% of 237 trades and another at 100% across 134 trades.
T1 has risen from entries as low as 51¢ to 68¢, but the concentrated buying still signals notable conviction.

$70,256 on T1

Serial winners backing BNK FEARX

Three wallets committed $3,400 to BNK FEARX at 35¢, including a highly profitable serial trader with a meaningful historical edge.

Three wallets bought BNK FEARX at 35¢, creating concentrated one-sided flow despite the market pricing it at only 34%.
One bettor wins 75% of 1,938 resolved trades, is up $2.63M, and has historically beaten implied odds by 19%.
Another wallet has an 88% win rate across 146 bets, while a third is adding to an existing BNK FEARX position.

$3,400 on BNK FEARX

Three-wallet T1 buying cluster

Three wallets are aligned on T1, with this moderately profitable serial cross-market trader adding to an existing position at market price.

Three wallets bought T1 in the same window, totaling $6,564 in coordinated positioning.
This trader is adding $3,244 to an existing T1 position rather than taking a routine profit.
The wallet is up $57,931 across 301 resolved bets, though its 56% win rate indicates a moderate rather than elite edge.

$3,244 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 57%

79% bettor adds to T1

A proven serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate is adding $2,000 to an existing T1 position at 66¢, despite the trade representing over 10 times the detected 24-hour volume.

This bettor has won 79% of 76 resolved trades and is up $29,366 lifetime.
The $2,000 purchase adds to an existing T1 position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
The trade was over 10 times the detected 24-hour volume, while T1 was available near the 66¢ ask.

$2,000 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0xce29...3b0d — Outcome 21120023, $70,067 (86% win rate)
0xab44...7ffe — Outcome 21120023, $33,994 (83% win rate)
0x5f0e...7397 — Outcome 21120023, $20,000 (55% win rate)
0xc9a2...77d3 — Outcome 21120023, $15,780 (85% win rate)
0x6802...fd8a — Outcome 21120023, $15,601 (88% win rate)
0x2466...57f2 — Outcome 21120023, $15,000 (100% win rate)
0x74b7...8b0b — Outcome 21120023, $12,800 (85% win rate)
0xec98...afcd — Outcome 21120023, $12,028 (59% win rate)
0x3308...f04b — Outcome 21120023, $11,857 (57% win rate)
0x2391...554f — Outcome 21120023, $11,452 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

Bitcoin will decline by August 30

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Bitcoin will rise by August 26 afternoon

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Bitcoin price will decline by 10:15PM

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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner

ResolvedLoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs$78,900 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between T1 and BNK FEARX in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 4 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 4 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “T1”

102¢

80¢

57¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction