Part of: LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $354,845.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp 8-wallet underdog cluster

Eight wallets, including several highly profitable serial esports traders, made a coordinated $37.5k Karmine Corp position, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

Eight wallets all backed the same underdog side for $37.5k, with most entries around 28–32¢.
Several wallets have strong records, including bettors winning 82–93% of resolved trades with six-figure profits.
The price has since fallen to 4¢, so this is a high-risk contrarian follow rather than clean momentum.

$37,515 on Karmine Corp

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved track record bought T1 at 73¢, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.

This bettor has won 69% of 1,364 resolved trades and is up $764K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.8M deployed across 661 markets.
Entry at 73¢ suggests they see T1 as materially more likely than the current market price.

$1,400 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 77%

87% sharp bought early

Sharp esports bettor with an 87% long-term win rate bought T1 at 69¢ before a major move to 96¢, alongside a large pre-event volume spike and price impact.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $73k lifetime.
They bought T1 at 69¢ before the market jumped to 96¢.
This is a serial cross-market trader with 53 events tracked and an 87% hit rate.

$1,897 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 87%

23-wallet sharp T1 cluster

A large linked cluster and several profitable sharp esports bettors bought T1 heavily at 69¢ before the market ripped to 92¢.

23 wallets pushed $222K onto T1, with linked funding and one-sided flow.
Several proven bettors joined, including wallets winning 95%, 87%, and 82% of resolved bets.
They entered around 69¢ before T1 jumped to 92¢, so the value is mostly gone unless price pulls back.

$220,264 on T1

Perfect-record bettor on underdog

A perfect-record serial cross-market bettor made a $26K Karmine Corp buy alongside one-sided clustered flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has won 23 of 23 resolved positions and has traded $1.7M across 29 events.
They put $26K on Karmine Corp at 32¢, joining 8 wallets betting the same side for $37.5K total.
The market has since moved against them to about 8¢, making this a high-risk but notable sharp-bettor position.

$26,066 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp cluster buying underdog

A proven 82% winner with $588k lifetime profit joined an 8-wallet Karmine Corp buy cluster during a huge pre-event volume surge, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $588k lifetime.
8 wallets bought the same side for $37.5k during an 876x volume spike.
Entry at 31¢ was a bold underdog bet, but the market has since dropped to about 8¢.

$1,495 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 88%

93% sharp joins cluster

A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet joined an 8-wallet Karmine Corp buy cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $107k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 114 events with a strong 93% hit rate.
8 wallets bought Karmine Corp the same way for $37.5k, but the price has since fallen from 32¢ to about 8¢.

$1,400 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 69% win rate and $764k lifetime profit bought $12.25k of T1 despite the price moving sharply against the first fill.

This bettor has won 69% of 1,364 resolved bets and is up $764k lifetime.
They put $12.25k on T1 across two buys, including adding again after the price fell.
Market volume spiked 25x before the match, suggesting this is part of a broader pre-event move.

$2,870 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable sharp cluster

A $29k Karmine Corp cluster is worth surfacing because it includes profitable serial esports/event traders and a sharp 23-for-23 wallet, despite opposing T1 flow in the same market.

A bettor up $458k lifetime joined the Karmine Corp side at 32¢.
The largest buyer has won 23 of 23 resolved positions, with $26k placed on this outcome.
This market saw a 243x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning.

$29,254 on Karmine Corp

Sharp serial bettor buying T1

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 78% long-run win rate and $263k profit is buying T1 at 71¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $263,738 lifetime.
They have traded across 154 events with $833,076 total cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 71¢ implies they see T1 as meaningfully more likely than the market price.

$4,844 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 79%