Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
This prediction market covers the winner of Game 4 between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs Lower Bracket Round 1, scheduled for June 2 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to ThunderTalk Gaming if they win Game 4, or LGD Gaming if LGD win that game, with final settlement based on the completed Game 4 result. PolySpotter is tracking $6,391 in smart money and 3 smart money signals, including sharp esports bettor activity and LGD cluster buying alerts.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 4 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 4 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,262.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Million-profit serial bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record and $1.88M lifetime profit is backing ThunderTalk across a broader event position.
- This bettor has won 73% of 897 resolved trades and is up $1.88M lifetime.
- They are a major serial cross-market trader, with $5.1M bet across 535 events.
- They have $39.8K positioned across 3 markets in this same event, suggesting a broader ThunderTalk thesis.
$2,076 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%
94% winner buying momentum
Sharp 94% winner with strong lifetime profit bought LGD as the price jumped rapidly, making this a copy-worthy esports trade despite moderate size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $65k lifetime.
- They bought LGD at 50¢ during a rapid 20-point move in 5 minutes.
- The market is liquid enough to follow, but the 5¢ spread means entry discipline matters.
$2,820 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume trader bought LGD at 35¢ before a sharp move to 48¢, combining a strong track record with immediate price confirmation.
- This bettor is up $903k across more than 2,200 resolved bets.
- They bought LGD at 35¢ before the price jumped to 48¢ within minutes.
- This wallet regularly trades related markets, with activity across 297 events.
$1,495 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%
New wallet in six-wallet push
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is buying ThunderTalk Gaming alongside six same-direction wallets, with a volume spike and price impact supporting the move.
- A brand-new wallet is already placing repeat large bets, with $5.9K flagged across 4 positions and a small early profit.
- Six wallets bought ThunderTalk Gaming in the same window, totaling $25.1K on one side.
- The market saw an 11.4x volume spike and ThunderTalk’s price jumped about 17 percentage points.
$3,301 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 40%
Sharp serial esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 77% long-term win rate bought ThunderTalk amid coordinated one-sided flow and a price spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $81K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 99 events, with $240K already deployed.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $25K total, helping push ThunderTalk up 17%.
$1,100 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%
Six-wallet one-way esports flow
Strong one-sided ThunderTalk flow from 6 wallets, with this serial esports trader adding $8.9k as volume spiked and price moved sharply upward.
- 6 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $25.1k in coordinated ThunderTalk Gaming flow.
- This wallet added $8.9k across three buys, scaling in from 51¢ to 67¢ as the price climbed.
- Market volume spiked 11.4x and ThunderTalk moved up 16.7 percentage points, suggesting real momentum behind the trade.
$8,907 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%
91% winner joins LGD cluster
A highly profitable 91% win-rate esports bettor bought LGD, reinforced by 8-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $345,972 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events with the same 91% win rate.
- Eight wallets bought the same side, totaling $40,694 on LGD.
$7,509 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%
New whale plus 8-wallet LGD flow
High-conviction LGD position from a brand-new repeat whale, reinforced by 8-wallet one-sided flow and cross-market betting across the same match.
- A 20-hour-old wallet has now been flagged 12 times, with about $29.5K in large bets.
- Eight wallets are all buying LGD, totaling about $40.7K on the same side.
- This wallet paid around 51¢ for LGD, while the market is now near 40¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original bet.
$9,155 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 50%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
High-score LGD cluster with same-side flow, a profitable 82% winner, sharp cross-market positioning, and a repeat new wallet despite the price pulling back.
- A bettor who wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $9.6K is effectively backing LGD here.
- Three wallets put $5.7K on the same side, including one new wallet flagged 13 times for large repeat bets.
- The move briefly pushed LGD up 20 points, and the current 34¢ price is below two of the cluster’s direct buy entries.
$5,691 on LGD Gaming
Sharp serial esports bettor
Sharp 77% lifetime winner with major profit is buying ThunderTalk alongside 9-wallet one-sided flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $374K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 137 events with $406K in tracked event activity.
- 9 wallets have bought the same side for $21.7K, alongside a 266x pre-event volume spike.
$1,924 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x3b4c...e850 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $58,700
- 0x49cf...1cde — LGD Gaming, $30,875 (94% win rate)
- 0x4876...446b — LGD Gaming, $30,758 (50% win rate)
- 0xd2f3...37f9 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $29,108 (56% win rate)
- 0xe015...6ffd — LGD Gaming, $25,626 (88% win rate)
- 0xf1d4...38d6 — LGD Gaming, $25,000
- 0xf68a...5b1b — LGD Gaming, $24,382 (51% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $23,404 (63% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — LGD Gaming, $22,955 (57% win rate)
- 0xf163...ca34 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $21,487 (64% win rate)
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