LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

This Polymarket tracks the League of Legends LPL Group Nirvana best-of-three match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Oh My God, scheduled for April 17, 2026. The market resolves to the team that wins the series, with current smart money activity showing notable interest in Oh My God. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner, the market will resolve according to the listed rules.

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Oh My God in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 17 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Oh My God. This market will resolve to "Oh My God" if Oh My God win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,347.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

94% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate bought into a meaningful price move on Oh My God, making this a modest but credible follow signal despite the small size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $52k lifetime across 315 bets
  • They bought Oh My God at 79¢ as the market moved up nearly 19 points, backing the momentum
  • The bet size is modest, but it comes from a proven wallet rather than a random one-off trader

$1,053 on Oh My God | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven cross-market sports bettor

A proven high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate across 1,434 resolved markets bought Oh My God at 60¢, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor to 74¢.

  • This bettor has won 1,046 of 1,434 resolved trades and is up $52k overall
  • They bought Oh My God at 60¢, and the market has already moved to 74¢
  • This wallet has traded 279 markets across 182 events, showing a broad repeatable process

$1,600 on Oh My God | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable new wallet presses again

A 1-day-old wallet with early profits and repeat large bets just put $12k on Oh My God amid a huge pre-match volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction worth tracking.

  • A 1-day-old wallet is already up $5.3k and has won 3 of 3 resolved bets
  • This bettor has made repeated large bets and just added $12k on Oh My God at 59¢
  • Market volume spiked 275x versus normal activity, showing unusual money flowing in before the match

$12,009 on Oh My God | Wallet win rate: 100%

73% serial esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 73% hit rate bought Oh My God into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 1,046 of 1,434 resolved markets and has put nearly $2.0M to work
  • They trade across many related markets and events, suggesting repeatable skill rather than a one-off bet
  • The buy came during a 275x volume spike, showing broader money flowing into this side before the match

$991 on Oh My God | Wallet win rate: 73%

Linked trio piles into OMG

Three wallets, including two linked and one very new profitable wallet, piled $14.3k into Oh My God during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a strong coordinated esports signal.

  • Three wallets all bought Oh My God for $14.3k, and two of them trace back to the same funder.
  • Two wallets have strong long-run records, including one with a 73% win rate across 1,434 resolved bets.
  • The biggest buyer is a 1-day-old wallet already up $5.3k, and the market saw a 246x volume spike before the match.

$14,250 on Oh My God

88% win-rate esports bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 88% win rate and $183k profit made a large fresh buy on Oh My God, taking over 80% of this market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up $183k overall.
  • They’ve traded 49 markets across 32 events, so this looks like a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off play.
  • The $8.4k buy took 81% of this market’s 24h volume at 58¢, showing clear conviction on Oh My God.

$8,444 on Oh My God | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe3aa...1485 ThunderTalk Gaming, $21,365 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x76cf...9452 Oh My God, $20,363 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xe96f...ff4b Oh My God, $17,002 (88% win rate)
  4. 0x2765...7ee4 Oh My God, $7,654 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x0a63...fc03 ThunderTalk Gaming, $7,259 (77% win rate)
  6. 0xef27...381b ThunderTalk Gaming, $7,019 (38% win rate)
  7. 0x2307...3934 Oh My God, $6,353 (51% win rate)
  8. 0xdd58...18f9 Oh My God, $5,330 (42% win rate)
  9. 0x17d6...f1e2 Oh My God, $5,000
  10. 0x8688...9d8c ThunderTalk Gaming, $4,755 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

1h$38,347 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
ThunderTalk Gaming
40¢
Oh My God
61¢

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Oh My God in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 17 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Oh My God. This market will resolve to "Oh My God" if Oh My God win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Oh My God
81¢
58¢
35¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

3h ago

$1,053 on Oh My God at 79¢

79¢61¢18¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

4h ago

$1,600 on Oh My God at 60¢

60¢61¢1¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

4h ago

$12,009 on Oh My God at 59¢

59¢61¢2¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

4h ago

$991 on Oh My God at 59¢

59¢61¢2¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

4h ago

$14,250 on Oh My God at 59¢

59¢61¢2¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

7h ago

$8,444 on Oh My God at 58¢

58¢61¢3¢

Related Theses