Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,741.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

93% win-rate bettor scaling into Top Esports

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 93% win rate added to an existing Top Esports position during a major volume spike, and the market has since moved from 72% to 82%.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 128 resolved positions and earned $221,277 in profit.
  • They added $2,000 to an existing Top Esports position at 72%, showing increased conviction.
  • Trading volume surged to 206 times its recent average, while Top Esports rose to 82%.

$2,000 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 90%

Serial bettor scaling into Top Esports

A profitable serial cross-market bettor added to a large Top Esports position during a major volume surge, with the price subsequently rising from 72% to 82%.

  • This bettor is up $221,142 across 151 resolved trades and has traded 96 markets across 67 events.
  • They added $3,923 to an existing $110,366 Top Esports position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • The market saw a 205.9× volume spike, and Top Esports rose from 72% to 82% after the entry.

$3,923 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettor adds to ThunderTalk

A proven bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing ThunderTalk position, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 13 resolved trades and is up $32,705 overall.
  • The $1,278 purchase adds to an existing $6,245 ThunderTalk position, showing continued conviction despite the price falling from 31¢ to 18¢.
  • A 206x volume spike suggests unusually heavy activity around the match, although the trade has not been validated by subsequent price movement.

$1,278 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%

25-0 sharp scaling into Top Esports

A highly profitable 25-0 bettor with a substantial edge is adding to a Top Esports position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 100% of 25 resolved positions, with a 45-point edge over the odds paid and $24,282 in profit.
  • The $1,377 purchase adds to an existing Top Esports position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.
  • Market volume is running 65.5 times its usual level, supporting the directional signal despite the position already being open.

$1,377 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 100%

Coordinated Top Esports conviction

Three wallets deployed $9.2K on Top Esports alongside a major volume spike, including a 25-for-25 bettor and serial cross-market traders.

  • Three wallets bought Top Esports for a combined $9,163, with the trades arriving during a 516x volume spike.
  • One bettor is 25-for-25 with a 100% win rate and $24,282 in profit.
  • The broader traders have extensive histories across hundreds of events, adding support to the one-sided position.

$9,163 on Top Esports

Top Holders

  1. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 11306817, $98,120 (60% win rate)
  2. 0xba72...e5a2 Outcome 11306817, $22,530
  3. 0xc44f...d49f Outcome 11306817, $21,594 (78% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11306817, $14,776 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xdaef...54e9 Outcome 11306817, $14,284 (66% win rate)
  6. 0xf201...527e Outcome 11306817, $12,857 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x4c3d...3735 Outcome 11306817, $12,261 (89% win rate)
  8. 0xf28e...e305 Outcome 11306817, $9,362 (76% win rate)
  9. 0xf496...fe79 Outcome 11306817, $7,883 (75% win rate)
  10. 0x52ec...a6f3 Outcome 11306817, $6,602 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Nongshim wins after Game 1 loss

Covers 3 related markets

BLG wins series after Game 1

Covers 3 related markets

ThunderTalk takes Game 1, TES series

Covers 3 related markets

Gen.G wins games, Hanwha wins group

Covers 3 related markets

Nongshim wins series and both games

Covers 3 related markets

T1 will win both games

Covers 2 related markets

Nongshim wins after splitting games

Covers 3 related markets

Deep Cross Gaming Wins the Series

Covers 1 related market

T1 will win Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Hanjin Brion Wins Game 1

Covers 1 related market

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$17,741 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

14d ago

$2,000 on Top Esports at 72¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

14d ago

$3,923 on Top Esports at 72¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

14d ago

$1,278 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 31¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

14d ago

$1,377 on Top Esports at 73¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

14d ago

$9,163 on Top Esports at 72¢

Related Theses