Part of: LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs
This Polymarket covers the best-of-three LFL Playoffs upper bracket semifinal between TLN Pirates and Karmine Corp Blue, resolving to the team that wins the match. PolySpotter is tracking $4,114 in smart money activity with 1 signal, including recent sharp and profitable bettor activity pointing to TLN interest. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 20, 2026, after the match result is known.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between TLN Pirates and Karmine Corp Blue in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 20 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Karmine Corp Blue. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against TLN Pirates. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,657.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable new esports bettor
A 2-day-old repeat bettor with early profits is buying TLN Pirates at 44¢ after $23k+ of flagged activity.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $5,162 across nearly $30k invested.
- The bettor has been flagged 9 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling $23,377.
- They bought TLN Pirates at 44¢, below the current 46¢ market price.
$1,342 on TLN Pirates | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable new esports whale
A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profitability is adding $4.1k to TLN Pirates at 44¢.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $5.2k after 6 resolved bets.
- It has now been flagged 8 times for large bets, totaling $20.6k in recent action.
- This is a fresh $4.1k buy at 44¢ on TLN Pirates, implying meaningful conviction.
$4,114 on TLN Pirates | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with 703 resolved bets is buying Karmine Corp Blue at a near-even price.
- This bettor has 703 resolved trades and is up about $153K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 130 events and $516K in tracked volume.
- Bought Karmine Corp Blue at 53¢, implying a close-match edge versus current market odds around 54¢.
$1,568 on Karmine Corp Blue | Wallet win rate: 60%
Elite esports sharp buying
Sharp high-volume bettor with an 86% long-term win rate and $6.4M profit bought $10.9K of Karmine Corp Blue at 51¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- They have traded across 269 events with $3.7M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $10.9K buy at 51¢ backs Karmine Corp Blue in a liquid market that has already moved 7 points today.
$10,913 on Karmine Corp Blue | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable esports serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample is buying TLN Pirates at near coin-flip odds.
- This bettor has a 65% record across 492 resolved markets and is up about $746k lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with 307 events and $2.4M in detected positioning.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see TLN Pirates as mispriced despite the market sitting near 50/50.
$1,715 on TLN Pirates | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial bettor buying TLN
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 65% resolved win rate and $746k lifetime profit bought $16.4k of TLN Pirates at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 65% of resolved bets and is up $746k lifetime.
- They bought $16.4k of TLN Pirates at 49¢, a size larger than current market liquidity.
- This wallet has traded across 307 events with $2.4M in tracked volume.
$16,360 on TLN Pirates | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable esports whale
Despite a low composite score, this is a large TLN Pirates buy from a highly profitable esports bettor with $746k lifetime profit across 492 resolved markets.
- This bettor is up $746k lifetime across 492 resolved trades.
- They put $14.6k on TLN Pirates at 49¢, a large position versus the market’s $12.6k liquidity.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see TLN Pirates as better than a coin flip despite the market being near even.
$14,645 on TLN Pirates | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x1136...0c2e — Karmine Corp Blue, $50,686 (50% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Karmine Corp Blue, $48,378 (86% win rate)
- 0x9770...0ff5 — TLN Pirates, $34,200 (66% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — TLN Pirates, $21,740 (80% win rate)
- 0xe361...ae44 — Karmine Corp Blue, $17,768 (50% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — TLN Pirates, $15,306 (98% win rate)
- 0x6049...f14f — Karmine Corp Blue, $14,766
- 0xff4b...0b1b — TLN Pirates, $12,150 (83% win rate)
- 0xc9c0...8d4c — Karmine Corp Blue, $11,500 (87% win rate)
- 0xba38...e406 — TLN Pirates, $10,016 (60% win rate)
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