Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,089.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable new esports whale
A 23-hour-old wallet with strong early profit and repeated large flagged bets bought Bilibili Gaming during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 23-hour-old bettor is already up $31,246 and has won 5 of 6 resolved bets.
- They have been flagged 14 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling about $80,593 in activity.
- Bilibili Gaming was bought at 73¢ amid an 89x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong market attention before the match.
$1,968 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 83%
91% winner buying underdog
Proven sharp esports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $10.5k of Top Esports amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $228,690 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 27 events, 32 markets, and $381,603 traded.
- The $10.5k buy came during an 89x pre-event volume spike, suggesting momentum behind the position.
$10,471 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 91%
New profitable esports whale
A 23-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and $31K early profit added $14.5K to Bilibili amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet is already up $31K and has won 5 of 6 resolved bets.
- It put $14.5K on Bilibili Gaming at 73–74¢, adding to a repeated large-bet pattern.
- Market volume is surging 89x above its historical average before the match.
$14,548 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 83%
91% winner buying favorite
Sharp esports bettor with a 91% historical win rate bought Bilibili Gaming amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $23.6K lifetime.
- They bought Bilibili Gaming at 74¢ despite heavy market volume, suggesting confidence in the favorite.
- Market volume is running 89x above its usual pace ahead of the match.
$1,063 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable new esports whale
A 23-hour-old wallet with strong early profit is making repeated large Bilibili Gaming buys amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This 23-hour-old bettor is already up $24,866 across 5 resolved positions.
- They put $24,383 on Bilibili Gaming, including a large add at 74¢ after an earlier 44¢ entry.
- Market volume spiked 119x above normal before the match, supporting the move.
$24,383 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 83%
88% win-rate esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and nearly $50k profit is buying Bilibili Gaming at 74¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $49.9k lifetime.
- They have traded across 39 events with the same 88% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- The $2k buy at 74¢ backs Bilibili Gaming despite an already liquid market, making the wallet’s track record the key signal.
$2,000 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%
85% win-rate esports sharp
A proven sharp esports bettor with an 85% win rate and nearly $40k profit bought Bilibili Gaming at 74%, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the low composite score.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $39,632 lifetime.
- They have a large 541-bet track record, beating average implied odds by 21 points.
- Entry at 74¢ suggests a moderate edge on the current favorite.
$1,500 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp esports cluster
Three profitable esports bettors, including a brand-new wallet already up $24.9k and two high-win-rate wallets, are all buying Bilibili Gaming in the same window.
- Three wallets are all buying Bilibili Gaming, including bettors with 88% and 85% long-term win records.
- One brand-new wallet is already up $24.9k and has been repeatedly flagged for large bets.
- The group put $7.4k on Bilibili at 73–74¢, suggesting confidence despite the market already pricing them as favorites.
$7,383 on Bilibili Gaming
92% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 92% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Top Esports at 29¢ despite the market pricing them as an underdog.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $70,820 lifetime.
- They have repeated cross-market success across 34 events with $93,127 traded.
- Buying Top Esports at 29¢ suggests they see meaningful upside versus current underdog odds.
$1,208 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%
77% winner backs favorite
A profitable sharp bettor with a 77% historical win rate bought Bilibili Gaming at 71¢ despite only a modest single signal.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $3,473 lifetime.
- Their track record beats market odds by 18 percentage points across 60 resolved bets.
- They bought Bilibili Gaming at 71¢ in a liquid match market now priced around 72%.
$1,416 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x1341...0853 — Bilibili Gaming, $51,758 (87% win rate)
- 0x76cf...9452 — Top Esports, $38,782 (91% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Bilibili Gaming, $35,193 (83% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Top Esports, $19,031 (76% win rate)
- 0x1065...6218 — Top Esports, $9,475 (92% win rate)
- 0x9770...0ff5 — Bilibili Gaming, $6,157 (63% win rate)
- 0x2e18...1c85 — Top Esports, $6,074
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Bilibili Gaming, $5,171 (65% win rate)
- 0x540d...122b — Bilibili Gaming, $4,754 (76% win rate)
- 0x6277...5a3f — Top Esports, $4,074 (80% win rate)
Related Theses
Top Esports beat NiP
Covers 1 related market
