Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LoL LPL Playoffs Grand Final, scheduled for June 14 at 4:00AM ET and resolving June 14, 2026. It resolves to Top Esports if TES win Game 1, or Bilibili Gaming if BLG win Game 1. PolySpotter is tracking $38,286 in smart money across 3 signals, including recent sharp activity buying Bilibili.
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,970.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
72% serial cross-market winner
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Bilibili Gaming at 73¢ before the market moved sharply to 95¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 760 resolved trades and is up $362,797 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 78 events, suggesting a repeatable edge in these markets.
- They bought Bilibili Gaming at 73¢ before it jumped to 95¢, alongside a 45x pre-event volume spike.
$1,164 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Bilibili at 76% before the market moved to 95%, with a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor has traded 353 related markets across 174 events and is up about $307K lifetime.
- They bought Bilibili Gaming at 76%, and the market has already moved to 95%.
- Volume spiked 45x before the match, suggesting broader money moved the same way.
$1,520 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 66%
Sharp cluster buying Bilibili
Strong Bilibili buy cluster with $34k from 15 wallets, including multiple highly profitable esports/cross-market bettors, alongside a 50x pre-event volume spike.
- Several proven bettors are on this side, including wallets winning 92%, 88%, and 84% with six-figure lifetime profits.
- 15 wallets bought Bilibili for $33.9k, more than double the opposing Top Esports cluster.
- Volume spiked 50x before the match, suggesting coordinated positioning ahead of Game 1.
$33,937 on Bilibili Gaming
Sharp serial esports bettor
Sharp profitable esports bettor with a 76% long-run win rate bought Top Esports alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $260k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 110 events tracked and a 76% win rate.
- Six wallets bought Top Esports the same way, with $15.2k of one-sided flow and a 63x volume spike.
$1,262 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 76%
New profitable wallet with cluster
A very new but already profitable wallet is adding $3.1k to Top Esports alongside a 6-wallet same-direction flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $2.7k and is repeatedly betting large.
- Six wallets bought Top Esports in the same window, totaling $15.2k in one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 63x before the match, and this trader entered at 35–36¢ before odds moved to 40¢.
$3,087 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xe59f...0d08 — Top Esports, $32,286
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Bilibili Gaming, $31,878
- 0xd2f3...37f9 — Bilibili Gaming, $31,016 (56% win rate)
- 0xf201...527e — Top Esports, $28,519 (71% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — Bilibili Gaming, $20,750 (61% win rate)
- 0x161e...6ef0 — Bilibili Gaming, $14,672 (82% win rate)
- 0xb589...91e3 — Top Esports, $12,559 (85% win rate)
- 0xa113...bb53 — Top Esports, $12,529 (95% win rate)
- 0x9e3b...6598 — Top Esports, $10,000
- 0x5286...0d47 — Top Esports, $10,000 (38% win rate)
Related Theses
Bilibili wins in four
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Anyone's Legend wins 2-1
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Hanwha Life beats T1
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HANJIN BRION wins Game 1
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Team Falcons beat Legacy
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ThunderTalk wins Game 2
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paiN wins Map 2
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Gen.G beats T1
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Team Falcons beat ex-HEROIC
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Team Liquid wins Game 2
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