Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
This prediction market covers the winner of Game 4 between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the League of Legends LPL Playoffs Grand Final, initially scheduled for June 14 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Game 4, with resolution expected by June 14, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $8,302 in smart money activity including a sharp bettor-led Bilibili cluster.
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,002.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor-led Bilibili cluster
High-conviction Bilibili flow led by a highly profitable 74% bettor, with 3 wallets buying the same side into a major pre-event volume spike.
- A proven bettor with a 74% record and $2.1M lifetime profit is buying Bilibili Gaming.
- 3 wallets put $8.3K on the same side, helping drive a 694x pre-event volume spike.
- The bets are large for this market and clustered around 56–60¢, suggesting conviction before Game 4 resolves.
$8,302 on Bilibili Gaming
5-wallet funded cluster
High-severity funded-wallet cluster activity on a thin esports market, with a $2.7k buy exceeding 24h volume.
- A 5-wallet cluster funded by the same source is backing the same side, with this pattern seen in prior scans.
- This $2.7k buy is 143% of the market’s entire 24h volume, a large move for a quiet market.
- Entry at 45¢ implies they see Top Esports as meaningfully underpriced.
$2,700 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0x68c9...aec3 — Top Esports, $7,309
- 0x35c8...ce5c — Bilibili Gaming, $6,822 (56% win rate)
- 0x7b4a...3b84 — Top Esports, $5,232 (55% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Bilibili Gaming, $4,477 (74% win rate)
- 0xf991...3965 — Bilibili Gaming, $4,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x93bc...8ca3 — Bilibili Gaming, $2,120 (79% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Top Esports, $1,775 (65% win rate)
- 0x306b...179e — Top Esports, $1,278 (56% win rate)
- 0x56e3...48d2 — Bilibili Gaming, $1,250
- 0xc3df...9945 — Top Esports, $1,233 (88% win rate)
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