Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $138,558.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

21-wallet JD surge

Coordinated $76k JD Gaming buy from 21 wallets, backed by sharp esports-style serial traders and a 36-point price move, though the market is now fully repriced.

  • 21 wallets bought JD Gaming for $76k in the same window, pushing the price from around 55¢ to 100¢.
  • Several repeat cross-market bettors joined, including wallets with 71% and 76% win rates across hundreds of markets.
  • Volume spiked 48x versus normal, but the move has already fully repriced to 100¢.

$76,109 on JD Gaming

Profitable new whale cluster

Strong coordinated Top Esports buying from a profitable 1-day-old repeat whale and 9-wallet one-sided flow, though the position has moved sharply against the trader since entry.

  • A 1-day-old bettor with 7 wins and $5.6K profit bought $4.4K of Top Esports.
  • 9 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $19.3K on Top Esports.
  • The market saw a 62x volume spike, but Top Esports has fallen from this trader’s 44¢ entry to about 24¢.

$4,400 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 87%

78% cross-market sharp

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 78% resolved win rate bought JD Gaming at 53¢ before the market moved sharply to 72¢ amid a volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $41.5K lifetime.
  • They bought JD Gaming at 53¢ before the market moved to 72¢.
  • This wallet has traded across 85 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.

$3,165 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 80%

91% winner buying underdog

Surface with caveat: a 91% winner and other profitable wallets moved toward Top Esports around 23–24¢, though most cluster volume was JD Gaming profit-taking rather than fresh buys.

  • A bettor who wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $384K bought the underdog at 23¢.
  • Three profitable wallets with strong histories moved the same way around 23–24¢.
  • Volume is 11x normal after a 27-point price drop, suggesting sharp traders may see an overreaction.

$7,609 on Top Esports

85% winner leads esports flow

Strong esports momentum alert: an 85% winning, profitable serial cross-market trader joined a 4-wallet Top Esports buy cluster during an 18x volume spike and 25-point price move.

  • A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $126,828 joined the Top Esports side.
  • Four wallets bought the same outcome for $12,457 as volume spiked 18x above normal.
  • Top Esports moved from 23¢ to 48¢, suggesting fast one-sided momentum before the match resolves.

$12,457 on Top Esports

New whale backing JD Gaming

A 19-hour-old repeat large bettor bought $5.3k of JD Gaming amid coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume spike.

  • A brand-new wallet has already triggered 5 large-bet alerts totaling $33.5k.
  • Three wallets are all buying JD Gaming, with $9.3k on the same side.
  • Pre-match volume is running 20.9x above normal, suggesting unusually strong attention before kickoff.

$5,300 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 54%

New whale backing JD

A brand-new wallet made a concentrated $20k JD Gaming bet alongside a 24x pre-event volume spike, suggesting notable esports positioning despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A wallet less than 1 day old put $20.2k on JD Gaming across two buys.
  • This same wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts in under a day.
  • Market volume is running 24x above normal before the match.

$20,150 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 54%

1-day profitable new wallet

Very new wallet with early profits is taking a modest but fresh position on Top Esports in a liquid esports market.

  • This wallet is less than 1 day old but is already up $3.6K across 3 resolved wins.
  • The bettor is buying Top Esports at 49¢ in a near coin-flip market.
  • The $2.45K bet is fresh conviction, though the track record is still very short.

$2,450 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 87%

81% winner backs favorite

Proven profitable wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and $141k profit is buying JD Gaming at 52¢, suggesting a modest but credible esports edge.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $141k lifetime.
  • Their average winning bet was priced at 54%, so this 52¢ entry fits their historical edge profile.
  • The market is liquid and tight, so the bet looks like a clean directional view rather than a thin-market move.

$1,820 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%

96% winner backs underdog

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 96% record is buying Top Esports at near-even odds.

  • This bettor has won 25 of 26 resolved trades and is up $8.6K lifetime.
  • They are buying Top Esports at 46¢, backing the slight underdog in a liquid LPL match.
  • Their past wins came at 48¢ average odds, suggesting real edge on coin-flip style markets.

$1,097 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 13071819, $40,256 (77% win rate)
  2. 0x21d0...42b1 Outcome 13071819, $25,000 (87% win rate)
  3. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 13071819, $21,704 (85% win rate)
  4. 0xafe8...5f44 Outcome 13071819, $12,000
  5. 0xe169...4653 Outcome 13071819, $10,519 (77% win rate)
  6. 0xef27...381b Outcome 13071819, $10,417 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x6204...0b06 Outcome 13071819, $8,200 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x8725...eb10 Outcome 13071819, $7,799 (82% win rate)
  9. 0x4a5e...8fd0 Outcome 13071819, $7,174 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xc41d...74fd Outcome 13071819, $7,032 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Top Esports beat NiP

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$138,558 tracked11 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$76,109 on JD Gaming at 55¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$4,400 on Top Esports at 44¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$3,165 on JD Gaming at 53¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$7,609 on Top Esports at 23¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$12,457 on Top Esports at 48¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$5,300 on JD Gaming at 53¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$20,150 on JD Gaming at 53¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$2,450 on Top Esports at 49¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

57d ago

$1,820 on JD Gaming at 52¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

58d ago

$1,097 on Top Esports at 46¢

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

58d ago

$4,000 on JD Gaming at 54¢

Related Theses