Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $138,558.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
21-wallet JD surge
Coordinated $76k JD Gaming buy from 21 wallets, backed by sharp esports-style serial traders and a 36-point price move, though the market is now fully repriced.
- 21 wallets bought JD Gaming for $76k in the same window, pushing the price from around 55¢ to 100¢.
- Several repeat cross-market bettors joined, including wallets with 71% and 76% win rates across hundreds of markets.
- Volume spiked 48x versus normal, but the move has already fully repriced to 100¢.
$76,109 on JD Gaming
Profitable new whale cluster
Strong coordinated Top Esports buying from a profitable 1-day-old repeat whale and 9-wallet one-sided flow, though the position has moved sharply against the trader since entry.
- A 1-day-old bettor with 7 wins and $5.6K profit bought $4.4K of Top Esports.
- 9 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $19.3K on Top Esports.
- The market saw a 62x volume spike, but Top Esports has fallen from this trader’s 44¢ entry to about 24¢.
$4,400 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 87%
78% cross-market sharp
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 78% resolved win rate bought JD Gaming at 53¢ before the market moved sharply to 72¢ amid a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $41.5K lifetime.
- They bought JD Gaming at 53¢ before the market moved to 72¢.
- This wallet has traded across 85 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
$3,165 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 80%
91% winner buying underdog
Surface with caveat: a 91% winner and other profitable wallets moved toward Top Esports around 23–24¢, though most cluster volume was JD Gaming profit-taking rather than fresh buys.
- A bettor who wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $384K bought the underdog at 23¢.
- Three profitable wallets with strong histories moved the same way around 23–24¢.
- Volume is 11x normal after a 27-point price drop, suggesting sharp traders may see an overreaction.
$7,609 on Top Esports
85% winner leads esports flow
Strong esports momentum alert: an 85% winning, profitable serial cross-market trader joined a 4-wallet Top Esports buy cluster during an 18x volume spike and 25-point price move.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $126,828 joined the Top Esports side.
- Four wallets bought the same outcome for $12,457 as volume spiked 18x above normal.
- Top Esports moved from 23¢ to 48¢, suggesting fast one-sided momentum before the match resolves.
$12,457 on Top Esports
New whale backing JD Gaming
A 19-hour-old repeat large bettor bought $5.3k of JD Gaming amid coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume spike.
- A brand-new wallet has already triggered 5 large-bet alerts totaling $33.5k.
- Three wallets are all buying JD Gaming, with $9.3k on the same side.
- Pre-match volume is running 20.9x above normal, suggesting unusually strong attention before kickoff.
$5,300 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 54%
New whale backing JD
A brand-new wallet made a concentrated $20k JD Gaming bet alongside a 24x pre-event volume spike, suggesting notable esports positioning despite no resolved track record yet.
- A wallet less than 1 day old put $20.2k on JD Gaming across two buys.
- This same wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts in under a day.
- Market volume is running 24x above normal before the match.
$20,150 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 54%
1-day profitable new wallet
Very new wallet with early profits is taking a modest but fresh position on Top Esports in a liquid esports market.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old but is already up $3.6K across 3 resolved wins.
- The bettor is buying Top Esports at 49¢ in a near coin-flip market.
- The $2.45K bet is fresh conviction, though the track record is still very short.
$2,450 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 87%
81% winner backs favorite
Proven profitable wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and $141k profit is buying JD Gaming at 52¢, suggesting a modest but credible esports edge.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $141k lifetime.
- Their average winning bet was priced at 54%, so this 52¢ entry fits their historical edge profile.
- The market is liquid and tight, so the bet looks like a clean directional view rather than a thin-market move.
$1,820 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%
96% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 96% record is buying Top Esports at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 25 of 26 resolved trades and is up $8.6K lifetime.
- They are buying Top Esports at 46¢, backing the slight underdog in a liquid LPL match.
- Their past wins came at 48¢ average odds, suggesting real edge on coin-flip style markets.
$1,097 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 13071819, $40,256 (77% win rate)
- 0x21d0...42b1 — Outcome 13071819, $25,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 13071819, $21,704 (85% win rate)
- 0xafe8...5f44 — Outcome 13071819, $12,000
- 0xe169...4653 — Outcome 13071819, $10,519 (77% win rate)
- 0xef27...381b — Outcome 13071819, $10,417 (49% win rate)
- 0x6204...0b06 — Outcome 13071819, $8,200 (64% win rate)
- 0x8725...eb10 — Outcome 13071819, $7,799 (82% win rate)
- 0x4a5e...8fd0 — Outcome 13071819, $7,174 (65% win rate)
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 13071819, $7,032 (97% win rate)
Related Theses
Top Esports beat NiP
Covers 1 related market
