Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,303.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports trader

A profitable serial cross-market esports trader bought Top Esports at 59¢ before a major collapse to 4¢, but the current market has moved sharply against the trade.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 185 resolved bets, 58% winners, and about $53.9K profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events with over $509K in detected volume.
  • The trade is risky to copy now: they entered at 59¢, but Top Esports has collapsed to about 4¢.

$1,364 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 58%

Serial trader fades Top Esports

Serial cross-market esports trader sold Top Esports into a sharp pre-event move with heavy volume and price confirmation, despite poor lifetime P&L.

  • This is a very active cross-market bettor with $3.5M traded across 601 events, now fading Top Esports.
  • The market saw a 38x volume spike and Top Esports dropped 18 points in 5 minutes, supporting the same direction.
  • Selling Top Esports at 56¢ is equivalent to buying Ninjas in Pyjamas at 44¢, versus current odds near 55¢.

$2,047 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp-led esports cluster

A six-wallet same-side cluster bought Top Esports for $11.6k, including a proven profitable bettor with an 80% win rate, though most entries are now badly underwater after a sharp odds drop.

  • Six wallets bought the same side for $11.6k, with two linked by the same funder.
  • One buyer wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $322k lifetime.
  • The market moved hard against them, but the latest entry at 20¢ is now near the current 28¢ price.

$11,588 on Top Esports

90% winner buys underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong profit bought the underdog despite the market moving away from their entry.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $190,720 lifetime.
  • They bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 33¢, taking the underdog against current market odds of 26¢.
  • The market saw a 73x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum around this match.

$4,304 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 90%

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DRX reverse sweeps FEARX

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KT Rolster sweeps T1

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LNG Esports sweep LGD

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Weibo Gaming beats JD Gaming

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EDG then ThunderTalk split

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SpaceX IPO under $2T

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EDward Gaming wins Game 1

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Ultra Prime beats Oh My God

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Bilibili beats Top Esports

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Dplus KIA upsets Hanwha

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LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$19,303 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Top Esports
0¢
Ninjas in Pyjamas
100¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

2026-05-12 09:42 UTC

$1,364 on Top Esports at 59¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

2026-05-12 09:32 UTC

$2,047 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 44¢

44¢→100¢↑56¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

2026-05-12 09:37 UTC

$11,588 on Top Esports at 28¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

2026-05-12 09:29 UTC

$4,304 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 33¢

33¢→100¢↑67¢

Related Theses