Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend match scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. PolySpotter tracks live Polymarket odds plus $1,364 in smart money activity, including signals from a profitable serial esports trader and underdog-focused buying. The market resolves after Game 1 is completed, with final resolution expected by May 12, 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,303.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
A profitable serial cross-market esports trader bought Top Esports at 59¢ before a major collapse to 4¢, but the current market has moved sharply against the trade.
- This bettor has a long track record: 185 resolved bets, 58% winners, and about $53.9K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events with over $509K in detected volume.
- The trade is risky to copy now: they entered at 59¢, but Top Esports has collapsed to about 4¢.
$1,364 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 58%
Serial trader fades Top Esports
Serial cross-market esports trader sold Top Esports into a sharp pre-event move with heavy volume and price confirmation, despite poor lifetime P&L.
- This is a very active cross-market bettor with $3.5M traded across 601 events, now fading Top Esports.
- The market saw a 38x volume spike and Top Esports dropped 18 points in 5 minutes, supporting the same direction.
- Selling Top Esports at 56¢ is equivalent to buying Ninjas in Pyjamas at 44¢, versus current odds near 55¢.
$2,047 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp-led esports cluster
A six-wallet same-side cluster bought Top Esports for $11.6k, including a proven profitable bettor with an 80% win rate, though most entries are now badly underwater after a sharp odds drop.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $11.6k, with two linked by the same funder.
- One buyer wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $322k lifetime.
- The market moved hard against them, but the latest entry at 20¢ is now near the current 28¢ price.
$11,588 on Top Esports
90% winner buys underdog
Sharp esports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong profit bought the underdog despite the market moving away from their entry.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $190,720 lifetime.
- They bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 33¢, taking the underdog against current market odds of 26¢.
- The market saw a 73x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum around this match.
$4,304 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x161e...6ef0 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $55,376 (82% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $25,394 (42% win rate)
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $21,152 (95% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Top Esports, $16,162 (81% win rate)
- 0x76cf...9452 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $13,042 (90% win rate)
- 0xd408...e85c — Top Esports, $11,795 (69% win rate)
- 0x3a09...f9f7 — Top Esports, $10,357 (53% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — Top Esports, $10,300 (50% win rate)
- 0xe04a...f990 — Top Esports, $9,540
- 0x507e...beae — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $9,218 (50% win rate)
