LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket covers who will win Game 2 of the League of Legends match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for April 25. The market resolves to the Game 2 winner only, even if the full match is not completed after Game 2 finishes. PolySpotter is tracking $8,537 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including alerts tied to both TES and NIP clusters.
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 25 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 2 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 2 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $124,742.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New wallet caught 40¢ move
A 3-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets and bought Top Esports at 60¢ before a 49-point move to 100%, suggesting strong short-term conviction despite limited track record.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already been flagged 4 times and put over $8.6k to work across 5 positions
- They bought Top Esports at 60¢ before the price jumped to 100%, a 49-point move
- The market saw a 10.2x volume spike, showing this bet landed during unusually heavy action
$1,191 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp serial event bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate bought Top Esports before a sharp late move to 100%, making this a credible momentum/information signal despite the high entry price.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M across 1,367 settled bets
- They bought Top Esports at 90¢ before the market jumped to 100% on a 49-point move
- This wallet regularly trades across related events at scale, with $3.4M tracked over 296 markets
$3,615 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 75%
Pro sports bettor caught breakout
A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with 852 resolved bets bought Top Esports at 87¢ before a 49-point move to 100%, showing timely momentum capture even in a liquid market.
- This bettor has 852 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up $185.7k lifetime
- They bought Top Esports at 87¢ before the price jumped 49 points to 100%
- This wallet trades heavily across related markets with $1.66M deployed across 86 events
$3,732 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 62%
88% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 88% win rate just made a nearly $3k cross-market bet in a game market that saw a massive price swing, making this worth tracking despite the trade now looking badly offside.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $597k across nearly $4.0M invested
- They trade heavily across related markets with 252 events and 510 markets, which suggests a repeatable sports betting edge
- Their buy came during a sharp 39.6-point move in this market, showing strong conviction even as the market swung hard
$2,982 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly active cross-market bettor with a large profitable history slammed Top Esports at 80¢ during a major price move, signaling strong conviction despite the market later collapsing to 12¢.
- This bettor has 852 resolved trades, a 62% win rate, and is up $185.7k overall
- They trade across many related markets — 86 events and 175 markets for $1.66M total volume
- They bought Top Esports at 80¢ during a 39.6-point price surge, showing strong conviction on the favorite
$3,066 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 62%
93% win-rate esports bettor
A proven 93% win-rate serial cross-market bettor joined coordinated buying in Ninjas in Pyjamas as the market surged on heavy pre-event volume.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $110k across 361 settled bets.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $11.4k total while Ninjas in Pyjamas jumped 32 points.
- Bought at 64¢ during a 12.7x volume spike, showing conviction behind the move.
$1,244 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 93%
4-wallet NIP surge
A proven high-volume esports trader joined coordinated buying in Ninjas in Pyjamas as 4 wallets pushed the price up 32% during a large pre-match volume surge.
- Four wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas together for $11.4k, helping drive a 32% price jump
- This bettor has 172 resolved trades and is up $63k, with nearly $400k traded across 35 events
- The market saw a 12.7x volume spike before the game, showing unusual conviction around this side
$1,410 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 56%
98% winner on underdog
A remarkably strong 98% win-rate bettor bought Ninjas in Pyjamas alongside 5 other wallets during a major pre-match volume surge, making this underdog entry worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $3.33M across 380 settled positions.
- Six wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas together for $54.6k as volume ran 53x above normal.
- They entered at 35¢ on the underdog, while the market still prices Ninjas at only 33% now.
$3,696 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 98%
6-wallet underdog cluster
A proven cross-market bettor joined a 6-wallet, $54.6k one-sided buy into Ninjas in Pyjamas during a major volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the trade being modest in size.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $54.6k total, a strong coordinated bet on Ninjas in Pyjamas.
- This wallet has 494 resolved bets and is up $154k, so the flow comes from a bettor with a real track record.
- The market saw a 53x volume spike, and this entry came at 40¢ before the price fell to 33¢.
$1,830 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp cluster on Top Esports
A highly active profitable bettor with a 75% win rate joined a 5-wallet $40k one-sided push into Top Esports during a major volume spike, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime across 1,367 settled bets
- Five wallets bought the same side for $40.4k total as volume ran 422x above normal
- They paid 73¢ while the market now sits near 70¢, suggesting a sharp bettor buying into short-term weakness
$4,480 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $215,210 (53% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Top Esports, $163,867 (75% win rate)
- 0x6e48...f025 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $67,921
- 0x161e...6ef0 — Top Esports, $64,491 (82% win rate)
- 0xf56e...2d64 — Top Esports, $59,326 (65% win rate)
- 0xd2f3...37f9 — Top Esports, $47,770 (56% win rate)
- 0x3ef4...4f5e — Top Esports, $46,432
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $33,690 (94% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $16,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $10,596 (98% win rate)
