Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 22 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $119,783.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor in 40-wallet esports cluster

A proven 85% winner joined a 40-wallet, partially linked cluster buying Top Esports amid a 22.7x volume surge and 25-point price move.

This bettor wins 85% of 222 trades and is up $146,256, with a meaningful edge over the prices paid.
Forty wallets bought Top Esports for $187,520, including two linked by a common funder.
The market saw a 22.7x volume spike and a 25-point upward price move, reinforcing the coordinated thesis.

$2,583 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp cluster backing Team WE

A 15-wallet, $53.7K Team WE cluster includes several highly profitable bettors with 86%-95% win rates and substantial edge, although the market has since moved sharply against their entries.

15 wallets committed $53,655 to Team WE, including bettors winning 86%-95% of resolved trades.
The strongest tracked bettors beat their average entry odds by 20-40 percentage points across more than 100 resolved positions.
Team WE is now priced near 12% after entries around 33%-50%, making this a high-risk contrarian position whose thesis has moved sharply against it.

$53,655 on Team WE

Profitable serial bettor adds to Team WE

A highly active, profitable cross-market bettor is adding to a substantial Team WE position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trade is not fresh and the market has recently moved against it.

This bettor has won 64% of 419 resolved trades and is up $295,230 lifetime.
They are scaling an existing $8,462 Team WE position while the market sees an unusual 111x volume spike.
The 31¢ entry implies roughly a 3.2x gross payout if Team WE wins, but the position is already underwater near 28¢.

$1,900 on Team WE | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettor scaling into Top Esports

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Top Esports position at 66%.

This bettor has won 84% of 148 resolved positions and is up $197,690.
They are adding $3,466 to an existing Top Esports position at 66%, while the market is now priced at 70%.
The trader has positioned across 38 markets in 32 events, indicating a broad and persistent track record rather than a one-off bet.

$3,466 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp cluster buying Top Esports

A large coordinated Top Esports position includes several highly profitable bettors and coincided with an 18-point price increase.

18 wallets committed $58,179 to Top Esports, with the market moving from roughly 54% to 72%.
One participant has won 98% of 40 resolved bets and is up $92,182; another has an 81% win rate across 21 bets.
The largest listed entry was $7,809 at 66%, while additional bets were placed as high as 72%, showing concentrated conviction.

$58,179 on Top Esports