Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
This League of Legends prediction market covers Game 1 between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for July 22 at 7:00 AM ET. It resolves to Top Esports or Team WE based on the Game 1 winner, with $53,655 in tracked smart money and signals backing both teams.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $117,200.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster backing Team WE
A 15-wallet, $53.7K Team WE cluster includes several highly profitable bettors with 86%-95% win rates and substantial edge, although the market has since moved sharply against their entries.
- 15 wallets committed $53,655 to Team WE, including bettors winning 86%-95% of resolved trades.
- The strongest tracked bettors beat their average entry odds by 20-40 percentage points across more than 100 resolved positions.
- Team WE is now priced near 12% after entries around 33%-50%, making this a high-risk contrarian position whose thesis has moved sharply against it.
$53,655 on Team WE
Profitable serial bettor adds to Team WE
A highly active, profitable cross-market bettor is adding to a substantial Team WE position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trade is not fresh and the market has recently moved against it.
- This bettor has won 64% of 419 resolved trades and is up $295,230 lifetime.
- They are scaling an existing $8,462 Team WE position while the market sees an unusual 111x volume spike.
- The 31¢ entry implies roughly a 3.2x gross payout if Team WE wins, but the position is already underwater near 28¢.
$1,900 on Team WE | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp bettor scaling into Top Esports
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Top Esports position at 66%.
- This bettor has won 84% of 148 resolved positions and is up $197,690.
- They are adding $3,466 to an existing Top Esports position at 66%, while the market is now priced at 70%.
- The trader has positioned across 38 markets in 32 events, indicating a broad and persistent track record rather than a one-off bet.
$3,466 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp cluster buying Top Esports
A large coordinated Top Esports position includes several highly profitable bettors and coincided with an 18-point price increase.
- 18 wallets committed $58,179 to Top Esports, with the market moving from roughly 54% to 72%.
- One participant has won 98% of 40 resolved bets and is up $92,182; another has an 81% win rate across 21 bets.
- The largest listed entry was $7,809 at 66%, while additional bets were placed as high as 72%, showing concentrated conviction.
$58,179 on Top Esports
Top Holders
- 0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 56729524, $128,059 (96% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 56729524, $29,437 (56% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Outcome 56729524, $25,739 (72% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 56729524, $16,516 (65% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Outcome 56729524, $13,161 (44% win rate)
- 0x55d9...832c — Outcome 56729524, $10,006 (77% win rate)
- 0xe700...dc26 — Outcome 56729524, $10,000
- 0x9733...f034 — Outcome 56729524, $8,790 (56% win rate)
- 0xbb35...b62a — Outcome 56729524, $8,462 (64% win rate)
- 0x80ba...2e78 — Outcome 56729524, $6,674 (62% win rate)
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