LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

This Polymarket tracks the best-of-three LPL Group Ascend match between Weibo Gaming and Anyone's Legend, originally scheduled for April 25 at 7:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with no side winning if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a result. PolySpotter is tracking $69,895 in smart money activity across 8 signals, including recent buying interest highlighted by a 94% win-rate bettor backing Weibo.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $113,742.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

High-volume esports regular

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with 852 resolved trades bought Weibo Gaming before a sharp 42-point collapse, making this a notable but contrarian trade to study rather than blindly chase.

  • This bettor has 852 resolved trades, a 62% win rate, and is up $185.7k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets: 89 events, 179 markets, and $1.68M deployed
  • The buy came at 66¢ before Weibo Gaming fell 41.8 points, so this is a strong conviction call but the market has since moved hard against it

$1,643 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%

9-wallet esports pile-in

Nine wallets piled into Weibo Gaming for nearly $25k during a major pre-match volume surge, and this wallet is an experienced cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L.

  • 9 wallets all bought Weibo Gaming in the same window, totaling $24.8k of one-way flow
  • This trader has 176 resolved bets with $70.1k lifetime profit and regularly trades across related markets
  • The market saw a 62.5x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusual conviction despite this wallet paying 66¢

$3,316 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%

9-wallet esports buy cluster

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 78% hit rate joined an aggressive 9-wallet buy cluster on Weibo Gaming, creating a notable coordinated position despite the market moving sharply against their 61¢ entry.

  • Nine wallets bought Weibo Gaming in the same window, putting nearly $24.8k behind one side of this match.
  • This wallet has bet across 345 markets in 228 events and wins 78% of resolved bets.
  • They paid 61¢ for Weibo Gaming, far above the current 34¢ price, so this is a strong thesis but the original entry is gone.

$3,505 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 78%

9-wallet esports pile-in

A profitable serial cross-market trader joined a 9-wallet coordinated move into Weibo Gaming as the market sharply repriced, making this a notable esports directional signal despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • 9 wallets put nearly $24.8k on the same side, a strong coordinated push into Weibo Gaming.
  • This bettor has won 65% of 136 resolved bets and made about $48.3k overall.
  • The market saw a 62.5x volume spike, and this trade came as odds swung hard toward Weibo Gaming.

$1,028 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 65%

13-wallet esports pile-in

A 13-wallet cluster piled $50.8k into Weibo Gaming during a massive pre-match volume surge, led by at least one exceptionally sharp wallet that bought as low as 38¢ before the price jumped to 66¢.

  • 13 wallets bought Weibo Gaming for $50.8k in a coordinated burst, a strong one-sided signal on this match
  • One of the buyers wins 94% of their resolved bets and is up $672k lifetime, buying as low as 38¢ before the market ran to 66¢
  • The market saw a 239x volume spike and Weibo Gaming moved up 23 points, showing the flow pushed the price hard

$50,751 on Weibo Gaming

17-wallet esports pile-in

A 5-day-old wallet joined a 17-wallet, $94k one-sided push into Anyone's Legend during an extreme volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite a sharp move.

  • 17 wallets bought Anyone's Legend in the same window, totaling $94k of one-sided flow
  • This 5-day-old wallet is already on its third large flagged bet and bought 63¢ during a 239x volume surge
  • The market moved hard and fast, with Anyone's Legend shifting 23 points amid heavy action

$1,766 on Anyones Legend | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor joins 17-wallet wave

A historically profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 17-wallet $94k one-sided push into Anyone's Legend as heavy volume hit the market, making this a strong directional signal despite the market's already high liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 566 resolved trades and is up about $297k lifetime.
  • 17 wallets put $94k on Anyone's Legend together as market volume ran 239x above normal.
  • They bought at 57¢ while the market now prices Anyone's Legend at 34¢, showing a much better entry than current odds.

$1,688 on Anyones Legend | Wallet win rate: 72%

17-wallet esports cluster

A 17-wallet, $94k one-sided push into Anyone's Legend on a heavily active market stands out despite this wallet's mediocre standalone track record.

  • 17 wallets put $94k on Anyone's Legend in the same direction, a strong coordinated view.
  • This buy came at 62¢ while the market has swung hard, with a 239x volume spike and a 23-point move.
  • This wallet trades esports-style event clusters often, but the real signal here is the broad one-sided flow rather than the wallet alone.

$6,200 on Anyones Legend | Wallet win rate: 56%

94% win-rate bettor buys Weibo

A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate bought Weibo at 38¢ alongside 7 same-direction wallets during a massive pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $672k across 88 resolved positions.
  • They bought Weibo at 38¢, and the price has already moved up to 42¢ after the entry.
  • Seven wallets piled into the same side for $28.6k total during a 434x pre-match volume spike.

$8,577 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor in 7-wallet surge

A profitable 75% win-rate bettor joined a 7-wallet one-sided push into Weibo Gaming during a huge pre-match volume spike, buying below the current market price.

  • This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up $108k across 201 resolved bets
  • Seven wallets bought Weibo Gaming together for $28.6k as volume ran 434x above normal
  • They got in at 39¢ and the market is already at 42¢, showing immediate follow-through

$1,475 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 38781387, $106,687 (86% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 33032915, $98,960 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x52ec...a6f3 Outcome 33032915, $53,570 (75% win rate)
  4. 0xbde3...4a49 Outcome 38781387, $45,107 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 38781387, $23,870 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x01e6...e7e0 Outcome 38781387, $23,000 (45% win rate)
  7. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 38781387, $22,572 (94% win rate)
  8. 0xf56e...2d64 Outcome 38781387, $20,773 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 33032915, $17,500 (51% win rate)
  10. 0xec92...6b59 Outcome 38781387, $13,332

Related Theses

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1h$113,742 tracked12 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$1,643 on Weibo Gaming at 66¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$3,316 on Weibo Gaming at 66¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$3,505 on Weibo Gaming at 61¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$1,028 on Weibo Gaming at 45¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$50,751 on Weibo Gaming at 38¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$1,766 on Anyones Legend at 63¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$1,688 on Anyones Legend at 57¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$6,200 on Anyones Legend at 62¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3h ago

$8,577 on Weibo Gaming at 38¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3h ago

$1,475 on Weibo Gaming at 39¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3h ago

$6,368 on Weibo Gaming at 39¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$27,427 on Anyones Legend at 74¢

Related Theses