LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the League of Legends match between Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for April 12. The market resolves based on the winner of Game 1, even if the full match is not completed afterward. PolySpotter is currently tracking $14,272 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including sharp cluster and underdog-buying alerts.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,116.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% winner in linked cluster
A proven 91% win-rate bettor joined a 10-wallet linked cluster buying Bilibili before a 35-point move in a market seeing an unusual volume surge.
- This bettor wins 91% of 821 resolved trades and is up $1.9M lifetime.
- 10 wallets piled into Bilibili for $47.9k total, with shared funding links behind part of the group.
- The buy came at 75¢ and the market has since moved to 96¢ after a 32x volume spike.
$1,654 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%
87% win-rate bettor cluster
A proven sharp esports bettor with an 87% win rate joined a 10-wallet coordinated buy wave into Bilibili Gaming before a major price jump, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $553k lifetime across 359 settled bets
- 10 wallets piled into Bilibili Gaming for $47.9k total, including linked wallets backing the same side
- The buy came at 77¢ and the market has since moved to 96¢, confirming strong momentum behind the position
$1,171 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
82% winner joins 10-wallet surge
A proven high-volume bettor with an 82% win rate joined a 10-wallet one-sided push into Bilibili Gaming before a 35-point price jump, suggesting strong conviction worth following.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 1,138 bets and has made over $310k profit.
- 10 wallets piled into Bilibili Gaming for $47.9k total, with linked funding across part of the group.
- This wallet bought at 76¢ and the price is now 96¢ after a 35-point move.
$11,447 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 82%
82% win-rate cross-market sharp
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate sold overpriced Bilibili at 89¢, which translates to buying Weibo around 11¢ before a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of 1,138 resolved trades and has tracked over $310k in profit.
- They sold Bilibili at 89¢, which is the same as buying Weibo at 11¢ — a very cheap entry versus current 42% odds.
- The trade came during a 12.5x volume spike, suggesting sharper money was repositioning before the match.
$2,002 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 82%
91% win-rate esports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.9M profit bought Bilibili Gaming, making this worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 91% of 821 resolved trades and is up $1.9M lifetime.
- They bought Bilibili Gaming at 85¢, showing strong conviction even in a liquid $627k market.
- This wallet has traded 168 markets across 129 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
$2,962 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%
96% win-rate esports sharp
A highly proven esports trader with a 96% win rate and $1.7M profit bought Bilibili Gaming despite already-elevated odds, making this a strong follow signal even in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $1.7M across 335 resolved positions
- They also trade across 360 related markets with the same 96% hit rate, which points to repeatable event-level edge
- They bought Bilibili Gaming at 90¢ after a big pre-match volume spike, signaling strong confidence even at expensive odds
$1,758 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
81% win-rate esports bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with an 81% hit rate just put $18.4k on Bilibili Gaming in a fast-moving esports market, signaling conviction even at a high implied probability.
- This bettor has won 81% of 84 resolved markets and has traded 59 markets across 43 events.
- They just put $18.4k on Bilibili Gaming at 88¢, a large one-ticket bet with clear conviction.
- This market saw a 67.5x volume spike and Bilibili moved sharply higher, showing strong one-way flow into this side.
$18,418 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Four wallets, including multiple proven high-volume winners, coordinated into Weibo at 22-25¢ in a heavily traded esports market, signaling a sharp contrarian bet despite recent price weakness.
- Four wallets piled into Weibo in the same window for $11.4k, including bettors with 82%, 84%, and 65% win rates.
- They bought the underdog at 22-25¢, which implies they think the true odds are much higher than the current 16¢ market price.
- These wallets have traded across dozens of events and one is up $3.3M lifetime, so this looks more like a thesis bet than random action.
$11,398 on Weibo Gaming
98% win-rate esports sharp
A proven high-edge bettor with a 98% win rate and nearly $2.9M profit made a $11k buy on Bilibili Gaming before the price jumped from 75¢ to 89¢.
- This bettor wins 98% of their trades and is up about $2.9M across 321 resolved positions.
- They bought nearly $11k of Bilibili Gaming at 75¢, and the market has already moved up to 89¢ after their entry.
- This wallet regularly trades across many related markets with strong results: 195 events, 306 markets, and a 98% hit rate.
$10,986 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 98%
87% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate just bought Bilibili Gaming into a heavy pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow despite the already-high price.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $553k across 359 bets
- They put $4.3k on Bilibili Gaming as volume ran 72.8x above normal before the match
- Entry at 88¢ shows strong confidence even after the market moved, with Bilibili still priced below 90¢
$4,348 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Weibo Gaming, $105,555 (67% win rate)
- 0x161e...6ef0 — Bilibili Gaming, $103,745 (82% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Weibo Gaming, $55,946 (84% win rate)
- 0x18b7...41cd — Bilibili Gaming, $43,000
- 0xe557...9597 — Bilibili Gaming, $40,000
- 0x6842...20d0 — Weibo Gaming, $31,350 (55% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Bilibili Gaming, $28,150 (96% win rate)
- 0xf56e...2d64 — Bilibili Gaming, $21,298 (57% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — Weibo Gaming, $20,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Bilibili Gaming, $18,915 (52% win rate)
