LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the League of Legends match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for April 18. The market resolves based only on the Game 1 result, even if the full match is not completed after that. Traders are watching this esports market for live odds, matchup sentiment, and smart money signals ahead of resolution.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $184,558.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor bought the dip
A proven high-volume sharp bettor with an 84% win rate bought JD Gaming at 21¢ alongside 4 other wallets before the price collapsed to 4¢, signaling coordinated conviction despite this trade now being deep underwater.
- This bettor wins 84% of 1,428 resolved trades and is up $3.8M lifetime
- Five wallets all bought JD Gaming together for $18.1k total, a strong one-sided signal
- They entered at 21¢ before JD Gaming fell to 4¢, showing they were willing to buy against a fast move
$2,050 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%
5-wallet contrarian cluster
A 5-wallet one-sided cluster is effectively buying JD Gaming into a sharp move despite the market now pricing Weibo at 96%, making this a notable coordinated contrarian bet worth watching.
- 5 wallets put $18.1k on the same side, a strong coordinated view rather than a one-off bet
- This wallet has over 1,000 resolved bets and is up about $39.9k lifetime
- The trade was effectively a buy on JD Gaming at 19¢, while the market has since moved to price JD Gaming at just 4¢
$2,953 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%
87% winner in 17-wallet surge
A highly profitable 87% win-rate bettor joined a 17-wallet one-sided surge into Weibo before a sharp price move, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already repricing higher.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up about $979k across 217 resolved positions.
- 17 wallets bought Weibo Gaming in the same direction for about $73.7k total, helping drive the price up 27 points.
- They got in at 73¢ and the market is now 82¢, so the edge looks partly recognized already.
$4,945 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp bettor in 17-wallet surge
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Weibo Gaming at 50¢ before a coordinated 17-wallet surge pushed the price to 82%, making this a strong momentum-and-sharp-flow signal.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime across 1,289 settled bets.
- They bought Weibo Gaming at 50¢, and the market has since jumped to 82%, a very strong move in their favor.
- 17 wallets piled into the same side for $73.7k total as volume spiked 18x, showing broad conviction behind the move.
$7,201 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor joins 17-wallet surge
A proven 82% win-rate cross-market bettor joined a 17-wallet $73.7k one-sided move into Weibo Gaming as the market was breaking sharply higher.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 88 bets and has traded 70 markets in 51 events
- 17 wallets piled into Weibo Gaming for $73.7k total as the price jumped 27 points
- They bought at 77¢ and the market is already at 82¢, confirming immediate momentum
$2,025 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 82%
13-wallet sharp cluster
A coordinated $101k buy into Weibo Gaming by 13 wallets includes several exceptionally profitable bettors with elite win rates, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the esports market.
- 13 wallets piled into Weibo Gaming for $101k in minutes, with most size bought at 44-45¢.
- Several wallets in the group have elite records, including bettors at 98%, 100%, 94%, and 84% win rates with strong profits.
- Market volume surged nearly 200x normal activity, which suggests this was a real coordinated position rather than routine flow.
$101,130 on Weibo Gaming
13-wallet esports pile-in
A 13-wallet cluster put $57.6k behind Weibo early in a fast-moving esports market, and several wallets in the group have strong long-term records including one at 87% wins and another up $1.18M.
- 13 wallets piled $57.6k into Weibo in a coordinated move as the price ripped from around 50¢ to 96¢.
- Several wallets in the group have strong records, including one bettor winning 87% of 217 resolved trades and another up $1.18M lifetime.
- The market saw a 12.3x volume spike and a 35-point price jump, showing this was conviction-backed flow rather than routine trading.
$57,578 on Weibo Gaming
8-wallet JD cluster
Surface this because 8 wallets bought JD Gaming together into a huge pre-match volume spike, creating a strong one-sided flow signal despite this specific wallet's poor personal track record.
- Eight wallets all bought JD Gaming, putting $13.5k on the same side in a coordinated burst.
- Market volume ran about 4,066x above its normal level before the match, showing unusual conviction ahead of Game 1.
- This wallet entered at 57¢, and JD Gaming still trades near 56¢ with a tight 1¢ spread.
$2,813 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 41%
8-wallet JD cluster
Eight wallets piled into JD Gaming during a huge pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a high-volume trader with a solid long-term edge.
- 8 wallets all bought JD Gaming, putting $13.5k on the same side in a coordinated burst.
- This market saw a 4,066x volume spike before the match, suggesting traders rushed in on fresh information.
- This wallet has 981 resolved bets, wins 57% of them, and is up $50k lifetime.
$1,125 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%
8-wallet JD cluster
Eight wallets piled into JD Gaming during a huge pre-match volume spike, creating a coordinated directional signal despite this specific wallet's weak standalone track record.
- Eight wallets all bought JD Gaming, totaling $13.5k in the same direction
- Market volume spiked over 4,000x its recent baseline, showing sudden conviction before the match
- This wallet entered at 57¢, close to current pricing in a fairly liquid market
$2,736 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 71762642, $216,518 (50% win rate)
- 0x9671...3a70 — Outcome 71762642, $59,603
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 25076349, $58,778 (84% win rate)
- 0xce4b...1928 — Outcome 25076349, $44,687 (59% win rate)
- 0xe015...6ffd — Outcome 25076349, $36,873 (87% win rate)
- 0x6842...20d0 — Outcome 71762642, $29,876 (45% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Outcome 25076349, $19,670 (98% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Outcome 71762642, $18,022 (51% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — Outcome 71762642, $14,182 (65% win rate)
- 0x3ef4...4f5e — Outcome 25076349, $10,000
