Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
This Polymarket market covers the best-of-five League of Legends LPL Play-In match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming, scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $16,429 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts highlighting notable LGD buying and favorite-fading activity. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, or 50-50 if it is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,062.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New whale joins LGD cluster
Coordinated LGD buying is worth surfacing because three wallets are aligned, including a 1-day-old repeat large bettor already up $4.8k, amid a major pre-match odds move.
- Three wallets bought LGD in the same direction for about $4.1k before the match.
- One 1-day-old wallet is already up $4.8k and has now triggered repeat large-bet alerts.
- LGD has seen heavy momentum, with the market moving sharply toward them before kickoff.
$4,069 on LGD Gaming
91% winner fading favorite
A proven 91% winner with strong lifetime profit sold LGD after a massive price move, alongside one-sided Weibo flow, though this may partly be profit-taking from an earlier LGD position.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $80K lifetime.
- They sold $8.3K of LGD after its big run, effectively taking the Weibo side around 32¢.
- Four wallets have moved the same way on Weibo, with market volume spiking 45x above normal.
$8,316 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%
96% winner buying LGD
Surface: a highly profitable 96% lifetime bettor bought LGD, with linked-wallet context and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $188,667 lifetime.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this side.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 32.7x above its historical average before the match.
$1,014 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
Linked esports cluster buying dip
Three linked wallets bought $14.4k of Weibo after a major price drop, alongside a 32.7x pre-event volume spike and one-sided cluster flow.
- Three linked wallets bought $14.4k of Weibo in the same direction within minutes.
- Market volume spiked 32.7x while Weibo’s price is down 61.5% on the day.
- Entry around 31¢ implies a contrarian bet that the selloff has gone too far.
$14,367 on Weibo Gaming
Profitable serial esports bettor
Sharp esports/cross-market bettor with a 76% long-run win rate and $91.7k profit bought Weibo at 67¢ amid a major volume spike and price drop.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $91.7k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 84 events tracked and the same 76% win rate.
- They bought Weibo at 67¢ after a sharp 1-day price drop, suggesting a contrarian read on the move.
$2,500 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Weibo after a sharp pre-match price drop amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 69% of 278 resolved bets and is up $65.8K lifetime.
- They bought Weibo at 67¢ after its price fell about 16 percentage points.
- The market saw a 49x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy positioning before the match.
$1,340 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%
Elite serial sports bettor
Surfacing because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate and +$600k P&L buying Weibo at 83¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $600k lifetime.
- They have traded across 152 events with nearly $928k deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying Weibo at 83¢ shows they are backing the heavy favorite despite a 10-point price drop today.
$1,955 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp esports bettor on favorite
Sharp esports bettor with an 85% record and +$50k lifetime P&L bought $4.5k of Weibo Gaming at 90¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $50,439 lifetime.
- They put $4,500 on Weibo at 90¢ despite the market already pricing Weibo as a heavy favorite.
- Their historical wins came at an average 63¢ entry, suggesting a strong track record beyond just betting obvious favorites.
$4,500 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x2307...3934 — LGD Gaming, $40,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x500f...94bf — Weibo Gaming, $22,396 (70% win rate)
- 0x0bf8...03b2 — Weibo Gaming, $20,979 (55% win rate)
- 0x6ade...f5b0 — Weibo Gaming, $15,867 (50% win rate)
- 0xd408...e85c — Weibo Gaming, $15,519 (69% win rate)
- 0xd2f3...37f9 — Weibo Gaming, $13,057 (57% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — LGD Gaming, $11,355 (54% win rate)
- 0xdb15...8393 — LGD Gaming, $11,111 (63% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — LGD Gaming, $10,872 (60% win rate)
- 0xc04e...75d9 — LGD Gaming, $10,658 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
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