Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
This prediction market covers the winner of Game 4 between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In. PolySpotter is tracking $23,316 in smart money and 4 smart money signals for this market, which is scheduled to resolve on May 24, 2026 at 17:15 UTC.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 4 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 4 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,996.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable event specialist
Profitable serial cross-market trader added Weibo at 67¢ as part of a broader event thesis, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor.
- This bettor is up $70.8k across 289 resolved trades and regularly plays related markets together.
- They have $36.5k positioned across 4 markets in this event, suggesting a broader match-level thesis.
- Bought Weibo at 67¢ before the price moved to 81¢, showing the trade quickly gained market support.
$1,575 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%
76% serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market esports bettor with a 76% resolved win rate bought Weibo at 66¢ before the price moved to 81¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 223 markets and is up $11.7k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 37 events, 48 markets, and $126k flagged in this pattern.
- They bought Weibo at 66¢ before the market moved to 81¢, suggesting strong timing.
$1,311 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%
81% winner backing favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate and +$163k lifetime P&L bought Weibo at 75¢ before the market moved to 81¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $163k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.0M+ staked across 184 markets.
- Entry at 75¢ has already moved to 81¢, showing the market followed their direction.
$2,500 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable esports cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market wallet with $286k lifetime P&L is taking a coordinated event-level position on Weibo across multiple related markets.
- This bettor is up $286k lifetime across 97 resolved markets.
- They have traded 43 markets across 26 events, suggesting a repeat cross-market sports strategy.
- This is part of a larger $16.8k position across 4 markets in the same event.
$1,857 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp esports cluster
Nine-wallet Weibo buy cluster is worth surfacing because it includes several profitable serial esports bettors and occurred during a 51x volume spike, despite some opposing LGD flow.
- Several profitable serial bettors are backing the same side, including one up $164K with an 81% record.
- Nine wallets bought $16.6K of Weibo during a 51x volume spike.
- Most entries were around 66–68¢, close to the current market price.
$16,605 on Weibo Gaming
Profitable new wallet joins cluster
A 1-day-old wallet with an 8-0 resolved record and $40k profit is buying LGD alongside a 6-wallet same-side cluster and a major volume spike.
- This new wallet is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and is already up $40,083.
- Six wallets are all buying LGD, totaling $11,577 in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 51x, and this bettor entered LGD at 32¢ versus current odds around 34¢.
$2,000 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial trader fading favorite
A profitable serial cross-market trader is exiting Weibo while broader one-sided flow from 6 wallets is moving toward LGD Gaming.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,098 resolved bets and about $257K in lifetime profit.
- Six wallets are all leaning the same way, with $11.6K effectively backing LGD Gaming.
- The trade is a sell of Weibo at 67¢, which is equivalent to buying LGD around 33¢.
$1,262 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial esports sharp
Sharp high-volume esports trader with a 74% long-run win rate bought LGD alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 1,607 resolved bets and is up about $1.48M lifetime.
- Six wallets are all buying LGD, totaling $11.6K on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 51x before the event, suggesting a wave of fresh conviction.
$3,449 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $657k lifetime profit is buying LGD at 34¢ while also positioning across this event.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $657k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 135 events and 251 markets.
- They have $6.3k positioned across 3 markets in this event, with this trade backing LGD at 34¢.
$1,118 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 72%
90% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 90% resolved win record and $151k profit is buying Weibo at 66¢, backed by extensive cross-market history.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $151k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 68 events, 112 markets, and $366k traded.
- A $5,000 buy at 66¢ shows clear conviction on Weibo despite a recent price dip.
$5,000 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xf201...527e — LGD Gaming, $18,839 (72% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Weibo Gaming, $18,499
- 0xc04e...75d9 — LGD Gaming, $16,302 (100% win rate)
- 0x1887...f75d — Weibo Gaming, $16,014 (76% win rate)
- 0x9ad6...4251 — Weibo Gaming, $13,323
- 0xb589...91e3 — LGD Gaming, $12,691 (87% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Weibo Gaming, $12,500 (51% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — Weibo Gaming, $11,250 (64% win rate)
- 0x4b8f...de20 — LGD Gaming, $11,168 (94% win rate)
- 0xe100...4d41 — Weibo Gaming, $10,819 (60% win rate)
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