LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,227.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
89% winner backing Weibo
A highly profitable esports/cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is buying Weibo amid a notable pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $268k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with nearly $498k deployed.
- Weibo was bought at 43¢ as market volume spiked 25x versus its historical average.
$1,750 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long record is buying Top Esports, though the trade size is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 65% of 637 resolved trades and is up $378K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 344 events and $3.4M in flagged volume.
- Bought Top Esports at 57¢, slightly above the current 56% market price.
$1,049 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 65%
96% winner joins Top buyers
A highly profitable 96% winner joined a 4-wallet Top Esports buy cluster during a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing.
- A bettor who wins 96% of resolved trades bought $4.5K of Top Esports and is up $174K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $9.8K on Top Esports.
- Market volume is running 25x above normal before the match, supporting the one-sided move.
$8,192 on Top Esports
89% win-rate sharp
Proven profitable wallet with an 89% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history is buying Weibo at 43¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $268,669 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 39 events and nearly $495K wagered.
- Entry at 43¢ backs Weibo as the underdog despite the market pricing them around 44%.
$2,236 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xdd92...6b2a — Weibo Gaming, $50,340 (45% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Weibo Gaming, $35,406 (86% win rate)
- 0xf344...9a04 — Top Esports, $23,500 (63% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Top Esports, $22,222 (78% win rate)
- 0x9a4c...1f30 — Weibo Gaming, $21,500 (100% win rate)
- 0x5038...6236 — Top Esports, $15,797 (28% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Weibo Gaming, $14,759 (55% win rate)
- 0x6918...782b — Weibo Gaming, $14,555 (100% win rate)
- 0x5639...a907 — Weibo Gaming, $13,362 (40% win rate)
- 0xe96f...ff4b — Weibo Gaming, $13,083 (89% win rate)
