Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,391.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

7-wallet esports pile-in

A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 7-wallet one-sided push into Top Esports during a major pre-event volume spike, making this coordinated momentum bet worth surfacing despite the market already having resolved against them.

  • Seven wallets bought Top Esports together for $31.7k, a strong one-way bet rather than a solo punt.
  • This wallet has 882 resolved bets, wins 62% of the time, and is up $185k overall.
  • Market activity exploded to 746x normal volume and Top Esports jumped 16 points when this group was buying.

$2,185 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 65%

7-wallet Top Esports cluster

A 7-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Top Esports during a huge pre-match volume spike and price jump, making the coordinated flow more notable than this wallet’s weak standalone track record.

  • 7 wallets bought the same side for $31.7k total, which is strong coordinated conviction
  • Market volume ran 746x above normal and Top Esports jumped 16 points as money rushed in
  • This wallet flipped after closing a $5k Weibo position, showing a fresh directional bet rather than routine profit-taking

$1,346 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 59%

Sharp bettor in 11-wallet surge

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 79% win rate joined a strong 11-wallet one-sided move into Weibo Gaming during a major pre-event volume spike, making this a notable signal despite the market moving against their entry afterward.

  • This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up $1.4M across more than 2,000 resolved bets
  • 11 wallets piled into Weibo Gaming for $23.4k total as volume spiked 547x and price jumped 58 points
  • They bought at 32¢, which is well above the current 24¢ market and suggests a strong disagreement with the crowd

$1,600 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 79%

8-wallet esports pile-in

Eight wallets piled into Top Esports for $46.7k in minutes, including several high-volume cross-market bettors, and the burst pushed odds sharply from as low as 20¢ to 64¢.

  • Eight wallets bought the same side for $46.7k, a strong one-way move on a single game market.
  • One bettor wins 82% of 1,258 resolved bets, and several others are active across dozens of related markets.
  • The buying helped drive Top Esports from 20¢ to 64¢, so the cheapest entries implied a major mispricing.

$46,666 on Top Esports

11-wallet esports buy cluster

A fresh wallet joined a large 11-wallet coordinated buy wave into Weibo Gaming during a massive pre-match volume spike, suggesting a thesis worth tracking despite the price moving sharply against this specific entry.

  • 11 wallets bought the same side for $23.4k total, a strong one-way signal on this market
  • This wallet is only about 1.5 days old and has already made repeated large bets, with nearly $6k flagged so far
  • Market activity exploded to 547x normal volume and Weibo Gaming briefly jumped 58 points, showing real conviction behind the move

$2,450 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 72%

11-wallet sharp cluster

A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate joined an 11-wallet one-sided push into Weibo Gaming during a huge volume spike, creating a strong coordinated signal despite this wallet getting a much worse entry than the current price.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 483 resolved trades and made about $162k profit overall
  • 11 wallets all piled into Weibo Gaming for about $23.4k as market volume ran 547x above normal
  • The market swung hard on this flow, but the current 24-25¢ price is far better than this wallet’s 90¢ entry

$4,244 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 80%

5-wallet Weibo reversal cluster

Five wallets piled into Weibo Gaming during a violent swing, including a proven high-volume 75% win-rate trader and a repeat new wallet, with entries as low as 38-50¢ before the market snapped to 100¢.

  • Five wallets bet Weibo Gaming together for $9.5k, with entries from 38¢ to 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
  • One of the buyers wins 75% of 483 resolved bets and is up about $162k, giving the cluster some proven sharp-money backing.
  • Volume exploded 746x normal and Weibo swung hard during the window, showing fast-moving conviction rather than routine activity.

$9,491 on Weibo Gaming

92% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports-style bettor with a 92% win rate bought Top Esports, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor from 68¢ to 44¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $118k across 370 bets
  • They bought Top Esports at 68¢, and that line has since moved to 44¢ in their favor
  • This wallet has traded 150 markets across 106 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge

$1,197 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional long-term record is buying Top Esports at 61¢, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $247k over 537 resolved bets
  • They bought Top Esports at 61¢, implying they still see value even after the market moved to 61%
  • This is a fresh $1.9k position in a sports market, which is the kind of spot sharp bettors often specialize in

$1,935 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% win-rate bettor

A small but notable esports bet from a wallet with an exceptional 94% win rate and strong edge-adjusted profitability is worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades (16 of 17) and is up $5.6k on $10.4k invested
  • They bought Top Esports at 63¢, showing fresh conviction from a wallet with a strong history of beating the odds
  • The market is relatively quiet at just $3.1k of volume, so even a $1.3k bet stands out

$1,277 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 81309583, $20,044 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x41bb...26e8 Outcome 81309583, $13,603 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x6130...a7a6 Outcome 81309583, $13,531 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x6ce5...02b3 Outcome 81309583, $8,569
  5. 0x17d6...f1e2 Outcome 81309583, $5,000 (89% win rate)
  6. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 81309583, $4,351 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x40cf...2748 Outcome 81309583, $4,197 (73% win rate)
  8. 0x124e...6802 Outcome 81309583, $3,909 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x17cd...7423 Outcome 81309583, $3,173 (95% win rate)
  10. 0x8c75...1b0d Outcome 81309583, $3,000 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

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Anyone's Legend wins 2-1

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$72,391 tracked10 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 28 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 2 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 2 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,185 on Top Esports at 73¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,346 on Top Esports at 58¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,600 on Weibo Gaming at 32¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$46,666 on Top Esports at 20¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,450 on Weibo Gaming at 49¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$4,244 on Weibo Gaming at 24¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$9,491 on Weibo Gaming at 62¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,197 on Top Esports at 68¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,935 on Top Esports at 61¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,277 on Top Esports at 63¢

Related Theses