Part of: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
This Polymarket market tracks whether the Los Angeles Dodgers or Atlanta Braves will win their MLB game on August 25 at 7:15 PM ET. Live implied odds and smart money activity are available on PolySpotter, with $50,806 in tracked smart money and one recorded signal. The market resolves after the game; a cancellation without a makeup game or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $105,690.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Linked cluster backs Atlanta with sharp bettor
Seven linked wallets deployed $50.8K on Atlanta at 51%, including a highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge.
- Seven wallets tied to two funders bought Atlanta for $50,806, creating strong coordinated conviction.
- One bettor wins 92% of 262 resolved positions, is up $88,698, and typically buys at 55% odds.
- Most of the cluster entered at 51%, while Atlanta subsequently moved to 100%; several wallets were adding to existing positions.
$50,806 on Atlanta Braves
Three-wallet Dodgers buying cluster
Three wallets placed $12,080 of coordinated Dodgers exposure amid a 17x volume spike, though the signal is weakened by mixed trader quality and existing positions.
- Three wallets committed $12,080 to the Dodgers, creating a clear one-sided sports-market signal.
- Trading volume reached 17 times its historical average during the positioning window.
- The largest bettor is up $8.3 million lifetime, but the other wallets have weak or unproven track records.
$4,658 on Los Angeles Dodgers
Profitable bettor scaling into Atlanta
A highly active, profitable bettor added nearly $10,000 to an existing Braves position while the market showed an unusually large price move.
- This bettor is up $1.9 million across 17,343 resolved trades and is adding to an existing Atlanta position.
- The $9,932 purchase follows a prior $15,401 investment, signaling increased conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- Atlanta’s price move exceeded its historical range, making this a notable directional trade despite the bettor’s moderate 60% win rate.
$3,161 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp MLB bettor backing Dodgers
A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $1,600 position on the Dodgers at 40%.
- This bettor wins 78% of trades across 367 resolved positions and is up nearly $400,000.
- The $1,600 Dodgers position was opened at 40%, below the current 44% market price.
- The wallet has traded 135 markets across 114 events, indicating a broad and sustained track record.
$1,600 on Los Angeles Dodgers | Wallet win rate: 78%
Serial cross-market winner backs Braves
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $6.1K Braves bet during an 85x volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor wins 65% of 7,048 resolved trades and is up $4.77 million lifetime.
- They concentrated $6,112 on Atlanta at 72–73¢ during an 85x pre-event volume spike.
- The market has since fallen to 54%, so the position is currently underwater and copying requires caution.
$6,112 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable bettor scaling into Atlanta
A highly active, profitable bettor added nearly $10,000 to an existing Braves position while the market showed an unusually large price move.
- This bettor is up $1.9 million across 17,343 resolved trades and is adding to an existing Atlanta position.
- The $9,932 purchase follows a prior $15,401 investment, signaling increased conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- Atlanta’s price move exceeded its historical range, making this a notable directional trade despite the bettor’s moderate 60% win rate.
$9,932 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 60%
96% win-rate bettor adds to Braves
An exceptionally profitable 96% win-rate bettor is adding nearly $10,000 to an existing Atlanta Braves position at 41¢.
- This bettor has won 137 of 142 resolved trades (96%) and is up $443,577.
- They added nearly $10,000 to an existing Braves position at 41¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The 41¢ entry implies the bettor sees Atlanta as meaningfully undervalued versus the 40% market odds.
$9,920 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 96%
99% winner backs Dodgers
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $7,500 Dodgers position.
- This bettor has won 99% of 2,062 resolved trades and is up $17.7 million.
- The $7,500 Dodgers purchase is a meaningful fresh position from a trader active across 1,206 events.
- Entry at 60¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite the market already favoring Los Angeles.
$7,500 on Los Angeles Dodgers | Wallet win rate: 99%
95% winner scaling into Dodgers
A highly successful serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding $12,000 to an existing Dodgers position at 60%.
- This bettor has won 35 of 37 resolved trades and is up $267,701 lifetime.
- The $12,000 purchase adds to an existing $20,000 Dodgers position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
- They have traded across 39 events and 47 markets, with a 95% historical win rate at an average 56% entry price.
$12,000 on Los Angeles Dodgers | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x6d20...a165 — Outcome 11183755, $153,588 (48% win rate)
- 0xf3a1...bf4b — Outcome 11183755, $27,829 (97% win rate)
- 0x3170...c6a0 — Outcome 11183755, $20,000 (95% win rate)
- 0xaa77...15a5 — Outcome 11183755, $19,888 (71% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 11183755, $12,500 (99% win rate)
- 0xce36...2b99 — Outcome 11183755, $9,355 (27% win rate)
- 0xe963...6753 — Outcome 10486640, $5,791
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 11183755, $5,283 (48% win rate)
- 0x2978...b511 — Outcome 11183755, $4,534 (43% win rate)
- 0x414b...8008 — Outcome 11183755, $4,447 (48% win rate)
Related Theses
Mariners will beat Giants
Covers 1 related market
Bernet beats Dellien in Trieste
Covers 1 related market
Christian Leroy Duncan will win
Covers 1 related market
Man City wins comfortably
Covers 1 related market
Athletics will beat Nationals
Covers 1 related market
Bournemouth will not win
Covers 1 related market
AFC Ajax wins May 24
Covers 1 related market
Verona Roma goes high scoring
Covers 1 related market
SD Eibar will win
Covers 1 related market
Catanzaro will win
Covers 1 related market