Part of: Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic

Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,335.

Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis

Notable Trades

Serial bettor scales into Tomic

A serial cross-market bettor added $4,057 to an existing $20,000 Bernard Tomic position during a major price breakout and volume surge, though the historical track record is only moderately strong.

  • This bettor added $4,057 to an existing $20,000 Bernard Tomic position, showing increased conviction.
  • The trade coincided with a 15.1x volume spike and a sharp move to 72% market-implied probability.
  • The wallet has traded across 44 markets and 43 events, with a 62% win rate on 157 resolved bets.

$4,057 on Bernard Tomic | Wallet win rate: 69%

Four-wallet Tobon buying cluster

Four wallets placed $16,800 on Miguel Tobon in a sharp volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated tennis-market signal despite the price subsequently falling.

  • Four wallets collectively bought $16,800 of Miguel Tobon during a 15.2x volume spike.
  • Two participating bettors have substantial lifetime profits, including one up nearly $27 million across 28,965 resolved bets.
  • The position has moved from roughly 57¢ average entry to 50¢, so the coordinated signal has not yet been confirmed by price action.

$9,579 on Miguel Tobon

High-volume trader buys the dip

A highly active profitable trader bought Miguel Tobon at 53¢ during a sharp 27-point price move, though the wallet's modest 55% win rate makes this a moderate rather than elite copy signal.

  • This wallet has resolved 45,561 bets and is up about $1.02 million lifetime.
  • It bought Miguel Tobon at 53¢ while the market is now 56%, following a sharp 27-point price move.
  • The trade is worth monitoring, but its 55% win rate offers only moderate evidence of a repeatable edge.

$2,698 on Miguel Tobon | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 43881241, $60,072 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x54ba...04e4 Outcome 43881241, $5,939 (77% win rate)
  3. 0xdbdd...a5de Outcome 43881241, $5,796 (61% win rate)
  4. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 43881241, $4,201 (57% win rate)
  5. 0xf52b...905b Outcome 43881241, $1,332 (97% win rate)
  6. 0x9772...3c18 Outcome 43881241, $1,000 (89% win rate)
  7. 0xd9b3...4dbc Outcome 43881241, $698
  8. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 43881241, $600
  9. 0xd9af...359c Outcome 43881241, $591 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x2f2a...9c0a Outcome 43881241, $357 (59% win rate)

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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic

ResolvedLos Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic$16,335 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesTennis

This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Bernard Tomic in the Los Cabos Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Bernard Tomic. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Bernard Tomic
102¢
71¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic

48d ago

$4,057 on Bernard Tomic at 72¢

Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic

48d ago

$9,579 on Miguel Tobon at 57¢

Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic

48d ago

$2,698 on Miguel Tobon at 53¢

Related Theses