Part of: M25 Rabat: Maximilian Figl vs Arthur Nagel

M25 Rabat: Maximilian Figl vs Arthur Nagel

This M25 Rabat prediction market covers the tennis match between Maximilian Figl and Arthur Nagel, scheduled for September 9, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with the market currently tracking smart money activity including recent bets backing Arthur Nagel; canceled or unresolved matches follow the exchange rules.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,695.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial tennis bettor

A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader placed a meaningful bet in a thin tennis market, though the current price has moved against the entry.

  • This bettor is up $7.2M across nearly 29,000 resolved trades, with a 66% win rate.
  • The $1,074 position represented over 120% of the detected 24-hour volume in a thinly traded market.
  • Arthur Nagel was bought at 74¢, but the market has since moved to about 66¢, so the edge is less certain.

$1,074 on Arthur Nagel | Wallet win rate: 66%

95% winner adds to Nagel

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 95% win rate added $5,329 to Arthur Nagel in an exceptionally quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 74 resolved markets and is up $280,354.
  • The $5,329 addition represents nearly six times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The trader already held $7,200 of Arthur Nagel at 82¢, signaling continued conviction rather than routine diversification.

$2,286 on Arthur Nagel | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable serial trader backs Nagel

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader placed a $2,006 bet on Arthur Nagel, more than twice the market's 24-hour volume, despite only moderate detection strength.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 2,499 resolved trades and is up $958,226 lifetime.
  • The $2,006 position is more than double the market's entire 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in Arthur Nagel.
  • The trade entered at 82¢, implying the bettor sees Arthur Nagel as a strong favorite at this price.

$2,006 on Arthur Nagel | Wallet win rate: 62%

95% winner adds to Nagel

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 95% win rate added $5,329 to Arthur Nagel in an exceptionally quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 74 resolved markets and is up $280,354.
  • The $5,329 addition represents nearly six times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The trader already held $7,200 of Arthur Nagel at 82¢, signaling continued conviction rather than routine diversification.

$5,329 on Arthur Nagel | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb8e3...aaf2 Outcome 26240265, $9,955 (96% win rate)
  2. 0xda3a...381f Outcome 26240265, $3,402 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 26240265, $2,382 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x154c...658e Outcome 26240265, $496 (70% win rate)
  5. 0xe1e3...f1bd Outcome 26240265, $208 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x3555...208e Outcome 26240265, $198
  7. 0xb91c...ed66 Outcome 26240265, $75
  8. 0xe7b8...5367 Outcome 26240265, $75
  9. 0xe134...f6da Outcome 26240265, $70
  10. 0x6b23...04a3 Outcome 26240265, $61 (62% win rate)

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M25 Rabat: Maximilian Figl vs Arthur Nagel

4dM25 Rabat: Maximilian Figl vs Arthur Nagel$10,695 tracked4 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Figl and Arthur Nagel in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Figl' if Maximilian Figl advances against Arthur Nagel. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Nagel' if Arthur Nagel advances against Maximilian Figl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Arthur Nagel
84¢
80¢
76¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

M25 Rabat: Maximilian Figl vs Arthur Nagel

2d ago

$1,074 on Arthur Nagel at 74¢

M25 Rabat: Maximilian Figl vs Arthur Nagel

2d ago

$2,286 on Arthur Nagel at 82¢

M25 Rabat: Maximilian Figl vs Arthur Nagel

2d ago

$2,006 on Arthur Nagel at 82¢

M25 Rabat: Maximilian Figl vs Arthur Nagel

2d ago

$5,329 on Arthur Nagel at 82¢

Related Theses