Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva
This Polymarket tracks which player advances in the Madrid Open match between Andrey Rublev and Vit Kopriva, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Rublev if he advances, or Kopriva if he advances, with cancellation or long delays handled under the market rules; resolution is expected by May 1, 2026. PolySpotter has tracked $7,743 in smart money activity on this market, with recent alerts highlighting sharp buying on Rublev alongside some interest in Kopriva.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Vit Kopriva in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Vit Kopriva. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Andrey Rublev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,799.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New whale chasing upset
A 1-day-old wallet made a large $7.7k buy on Vit Kopriva into a major volume spike and price breakout, signaling fresh conviction despite no track record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet dropped $7.7k on one side of this match, with more than $10k in flagged bets already
- This buy came during a 110x surge in market activity as Vit Kopriva jumped 24 points
- Paying 88¢ shows strong conviction that Kopriva should be even more likely than the market implied earlier
$7,743 on Vit Kopriva
96% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate bought $12.3k of Vit Kopriva during an extreme pre-match volume surge and helped push the price higher.
- This bettor wins 96% of 1,909 resolved trades and is up $112.6k lifetime.
- They put $12.3k into Vit Kopriva at 82¢, and the market has already moved up to 86¢ after the buy.
- Trading hit an 83x volume spike, which suggests informed money was piling in before the match.
$12,348 on Vit Kopriva | Wallet win rate: 96%
New wallet chasing Kopriva
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly betting meaningful size into a fast-moving tennis market, and this buy came before another push higher in Kopriva's price.
- This 7-hour-old wallet has already made repeated large bets, with $7.3k flagged across 4 alerts
- The market saw an 83x volume spike, and Kopriva jumped 24 points as money piled in
- This buy hit at 81¢ and the market is now 86¢, showing immediate follow-through
$998 on Vit Kopriva
93% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Andrey Rublev at 37¢ alongside a 5-wallet one-sided cluster during a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up about $444k across 175 resolved positions
- Five wallets all bought Rublev in the same window, with about $13.4k backing the same side
- The buy came at 37¢ after an 81.5x volume surge, implying they see Rublev as meaningfully underpriced
$1,088 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp bettor in buy cluster
A highly profitable 80% win-rate bettor with nearly $3.2M in P&L joined a 5-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Rublev during an unusually large volume spike, making this a notable follow signal despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up $3.2M across nearly 1,300 resolved bets
- Five wallets all bought Andrey Rublev, with $13.4k total, during an 81x jump in market activity
- They entered at 49¢, well above Rublev's current 38¢ price, showing conviction even after the market moved against them
$1,180 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 80%
76% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate bought into a match drawing an extreme pre-event volume surge, making this a follow-worthy signal despite adverse price movement since entry.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 712 bets and is up about $150k lifetime
- The market saw a 126x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusual attention around this line
- They bought Rublev at 74¢ with nearly $5k, a meaningful one-ticket position even after the price fell to 52¢
$4,961 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp cluster buying longshot
Four wallets piled into the longshot Rublev side during a major volume spike, including two very strong bettors with exceptional track records and one whale up over $6.4M lifetime.
- Four wallets all bet Rublev at 14-18¢, a coordinated $12.6k position against a market pricing him at just 10%.
- Two of the wallets stand out: one wins 93% of 175 resolved bets, and another is up $6.4M lifetime with a 73% win rate across 3,493 bets.
- The market saw a 111x volume spike and Rublev has crashed 64.5 points in a day, so this cluster is stepping into a sharp panic move at a much cheaper price.
$12,604 on Andrey Rublev
High-hit-rate sports bettor
A very active sports bettor with an 88% hit rate placed a nearly $3.9k buy that made up about 90% of recent volume, signaling meaningful conviction despite the market being moderately liquid.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved markets across 196 bets and has traded more than $4.3M across 202 markets
- Their $3,878 buy made up about 90% of recent volume, so this was a meaningful push rather than routine noise
- They bought Rublev at 75¢ while the market is still around 74¢, showing straightforward conviction on the favorite
$3,878 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Andrey Rublev, $62,925 (73% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Vit Kopriva, $47,893 (68% win rate)
- 0x33ab...9523 — Vit Kopriva, $46,624
- 0xba81...dc35 — Andrey Rublev, $41,017 (93% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Vit Kopriva, $24,195 (80% win rate)
- 0x38c2...d3a7 — Andrey Rublev, $23,400 (52% win rate)
- 0x6fc4...c89d — Vit Kopriva, $19,235 (100% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Vit Kopriva, $17,814 (54% win rate)
- 0x6049...f14f — Vit Kopriva, $9,781
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Vit Kopriva, $9,389 (60% win rate)
