Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolina
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Anna Bondar and Elina Svitolina, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation, no contest, or a delay longer than 7 days resulting in special resolution rules. Current interest includes $1,681 in tracked smart money and one smart money signal tied to this match.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,460.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
87% win-rate tennis sharp
A proven sharp bettor with an 87% win rate bought into a fast-moving tennis market just before/during a major volume surge, suggesting informed conviction even at a high probability price.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up $10.9k across 176 resolved bets
- They bought Anna Bondar at 90¢ as the market saw a 79x volume spike and a fast 16-point price jump
- Buying at 90¢ in a liquid market suggests they still saw Bondar as mispriced despite the late move
$1,681 on Anna Bondar | Wallet win rate: 87%
83% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with an 83% win rate made an $11.3k buy after a major price breakout, making this a notable momentum-style bet despite the rich entry price.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved markets across 127 bets and has traded 97 events.
- They put $11.3k into Anna Bondar after a 34-point breakout, showing willingness to chase strong match momentum.
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate thesis from an experienced trader rather than a random thin-market punt.
$11,306 on Anna Bondar | Wallet win rate: 83%
94% win-rate tennis bettor
A very sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Elina Svitolina at 47¢ after a major price drop, making this a credible value entry worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $411k across 171 resolved positions
- They bought Elina Svitolina at 47¢ after a 28-point drop, suggesting they see the selloff as mispriced
- This wallet has been profitable across 44 separate events, so this is not a one-off hot streak
$1,838 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $411k in profit is making a fresh $7.6k buy on Elina Svitolina, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the already-high price.
- This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up $411k across 171 bets
- They have a repeat pattern across 42 separate events, which suggests a real edge rather than a one-off hit
- They just put $7.6k on Elina Svitolina at 82¢, a sizable wager in a market with about $62k of liquidity
$7,635 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xba81...dc35 — Outcome 10962887, $20,068 (94% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 10962887, $7,225 (80% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 10962887, $5,257 (55% win rate)
- 0xf58c...0b79 — Outcome 10962887, $3,727 (33% win rate)
- 0x9f13...e0fd — Outcome 82168629, $3,077 (70% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 82168629, $2,579 (60% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Outcome 10962887, $2,490 (50% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Outcome 10962887, $2,289 (55% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Outcome 10962887, $2,187 (50% win rate)
- 0x0828...a1a6 — Outcome 10962887, $1,791 (100% win rate)
