Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,087.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet fading favorite

A fast-rising new wallet with early profits sold Cameron Norrie at 74¢ just before a sharp reversal, which translates into a bullish buy on Thiago Agustin Tirante around 26¢.

  • This 19-day-old wallet has already been flagged 20 times, is up $3.5k, and has won all 6 resolved bets so far
  • They sold Cameron Norrie at 74¢ right before the market dropped to 60¢, a strong read on a fast 25-point move
  • That trade is equivalent to buying Thiago Agustin Tirante at 26¢, implying they saw the underdog as materially underpriced

$2,126 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp cluster buying underdog

A 4-wallet cluster piled into Thiago Agustin Tirante around 21-22¢, led by two extremely strong high-volume bettors with 84% and 92% win rates, making this a notable underdog buy worth surfacing.

  • Two proven bettors with 84% and 92% win rates led this move, with more than $2.0M in combined lifetime profit.
  • All 4 wallets backed Thiago Agustin Tirante around 21-22¢, while the market jumped 23 points in a day.
  • Buying at 21-22¢ means they saw the underdog as materially mispriced before it moved to 24¢.

$5,736 on Thiago Agustin Tirante

4-wallet Norrie pile-in

Four wallets piled into Cameron Norrie in the same window, led by a very new repeat bettor, creating a clear one-sided signal in an active tennis market.

  • Four wallets all bet Cameron Norrie within minutes, putting $9.1k on the same side
  • One wallet is just 2 days old and has already been flagged 14 times with $26.1k in large bets
  • They bought around 51-54¢ and the market is now 55¢, so the move has already started to go their way

$9,063 on Cameron Norrie

3-wallet Norrie cluster

Three wallets lined up on Cameron Norrie around 52-53¢, including a profitable bettor and a highly active new wallet, creating coordinated but not overcrowded directional flow.

  • Three wallets all bet Cameron Norrie within minutes at 52-53¢, showing coordinated conviction.
  • One wallet has 79 wins in 116 resolved bets and is up $8.7k lifetime.
  • A wallet less than 2 days old has already been flagged 5 times for large bets, suggesting aggressive early positioning.

$4,716 on Cameron Norrie

96% win-rate tennis sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate and strong edge is taking Thiago Agustin Tirante at 47¢, making this a worthwhile tennis copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $42k on about $99k invested
  • They bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 47¢ while the market still prices him below 50%
  • This is a fresh directional bet from a wallet with 27 resolved positions and an unusually strong edge

$1,447 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5ba6...0f07 Outcome 38139109, $35,000 (37% win rate)
  2. 0xbdfb...f1ff Outcome 38139109, $22,456
  3. 0x9f7b...7f37 Outcome 38139109, $9,109 (97% win rate)
  4. 0x2ca1...ddcd Outcome 38139109, $7,903 (39% win rate)
  5. 0x507e...beae Outcome 38139109, $7,467 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xde19...3c92 Outcome 38139109, $7,182 (18% win rate)
  7. 0x138d...b23e Outcome 38139109, $6,772
  8. 0x84ad...bfb7 Outcome 85464047, $5,883 (57% win rate)
  9. 0x76cc...fbbc Outcome 38139109, $5,655 (14% win rate)
  10. 0x4698...d7a5 Outcome 38139109, $5,396 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

6d$23,087 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Cameron Norrie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

5h ago

$2,126 on Thiago Agustin Tirante at 26¢

Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

6h ago

$5,736 on Thiago Agustin Tirante at 21¢

Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

6h ago

$9,063 on Cameron Norrie at 51¢

Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

7h ago

$4,716 on Cameron Norrie at 53¢

Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

8h ago

$1,447 on Thiago Agustin Tirante at 47¢

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