Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka

This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation or long delays covered by the listed market rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,419 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent sharp alert on Naomi Osaka.

This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camila Osorio' if Camila Osorio advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Camila Osorio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,108.

Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games

Notable Trades

94% win-rate tennis sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and $411k profit bought the underdog in a liquid tennis market at 29¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite only one trade.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $411k across 171 resolved positions.
  • They have placed $322k across 55 different events, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Camila Osorio at 29¢, a cheap underdog entry that now trades lower at 26¢.

$1,419 on Camila Osorio | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% win rate bought Camila Osorio at 37¢ after a sharp market drop, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $411k across 171 resolved positions
  • They have placed $319k across 54 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Camila Osorio at 37¢ after the market fell 17 points in a day, suggesting they see the price as too low

$3,088 on Camila Osorio | Wallet win rate: 94%

Pro sports sharp on Osaka

A highly proven sports trader with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit bought Naomi Osaka before the market moved from 63¢ to 68¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 3,471 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They bought Naomi Osaka at 63¢ and the market is already up to 68¢
  • This wallet has traded across 1,111 markets and nearly $8.5M, suggesting a repeatable edge

$1,075 on Naomi Osaka | Wallet win rate: 73%

Proven sharp sports bettor

A very active and highly profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate put $5.5k on Camila Osorio, making this worth watching despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 2,519 of 3,471 resolved trades and is up about $6.4M lifetime
  • They have traded 1,110 markets across 921 events, which points to a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Camila Osorio at 52¢ in a fairly liquid market, suggesting a measured but credible edge from a proven winner

$5,526 on Camila Osorio | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xba81...dc35 Camila Osorio, $17,168 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Naomi Osaka, $17,051 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xf519...906b Camila Osorio, $9,993 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x38c2...d3a7 Camila Osorio, $8,203 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x2005...75ea Naomi Osaka, $3,963 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x7234...1d85 Camila Osorio, $3,939 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x5aa9...febe Naomi Osaka, $3,190
  8. 0xefdd...017f Camila Osorio, $3,105 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xd218...b5c9 Naomi Osaka, $2,750 (46% win rate)
  10. 0x507e...beae Camila Osorio, $2,740 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka

6d$11,108 tracked4 signalsSportsTennisGames
Camila Osorio
18¢
Naomi Osaka
83¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camila Osorio' if Camila Osorio advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Camila Osorio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Naomi Osaka
71¢
59¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka

2h ago

$1,419 on Camila Osorio at 29¢

29¢18¢11¢

Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka

2h ago

$3,088 on Camila Osorio at 37¢

37¢18¢19¢

Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka

2h ago

$1,075 on Naomi Osaka at 63¢

63¢83¢20¢

Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka

2h ago

$5,526 on Camila Osorio at 52¢

52¢18¢34¢

Related Theses

Osorio vs Osaka Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter