Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfils
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gael Monfils, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it will not resolve to either side under the stated rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,058 in smart money on this market, with one recent signal flagged by the alert headline: "Sharp bettor buying collapse."
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gael Monfils in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Gael Monfils. This market will resolve to 'Gael Monfils' if Gael Monfils advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,058.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buying collapse
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought Gael Monfils at 12¢ right after a sharp selloff, making this a credible contrarian value play despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 73% of 3,471 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They bought Gael Monfils at 12¢ after a 26-point price drop, suggesting they see the selloff as overdone
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a selective value bet than random whale flow
$1,058 on Gael Monfils | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Gael Monfils, $41,341 (73% win rate)
- 0x2dc8...47d0 — Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $25,404
- 0xf519...906b — Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $12,293 (52% win rate)
- 0x3555...ba40 — Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $10,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $9,959
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $7,990 (61% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Gael Monfils, $6,991 (50% win rate)
- 0xa16a...33a1 — Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $6,639 (99% win rate)
- 0x187b...26bf — Gael Monfils, $6,500 (46% win rate)
- 0xe4d3...c2f0 — Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $6,300 (68% win rate)
