Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Cristian Garin and Alexander Blockx, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation, ties, or delays beyond seven days covered by the market rules. PolySpotter also shows smart money activity on this market, including recent underdog buying signals.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,502.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Proven sports bettor entry
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Alexander Blockx, offering a chance to follow a proven bettor at a better price than their 58¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $21k on $139k invested
- They have traded 62 markets across 56 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Alexander Blockx at 58¢ and the market is now 50¢, giving a cheaper follow price
$1,481 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable new wallet presses edge
A 22-hour-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profit just put another $3.5k into Alexander Blockx, showing fresh conviction despite already being heavily active.
- This 22-hour-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts and is up $3.3k early
- They put $3.5k on Alexander Blockx here, including a direct buy at 61¢ and the equivalent of buying more via selling Garin at 40¢
- This is fresh conviction from a very active new bettor, not routine profit-taking
$3,477 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 71%
Proven winner in volume spike
A very active and highly profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate put $17.4k on Garin during an extreme pre-match volume surge, making this a worthwhile signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor has won 2,517 of 3,467 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They've traded 1,097 markets across 908 events, so this looks like a seasoned operator rather than a random one-off bet
- The $17.4k buy hit during a 190x volume spike, suggesting broader informed interest around this match
$17,377 on Cristian Garin | Wallet win rate: 73%
$6.4M sharp backs underdog
A very profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M P&L just placed a meaningful underdog bet on Blockx at 24¢, making this worth tracking despite only one signal.
- This bettor has won 2,517 of 3,467 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They regularly trade across many related markets: 908 events and 1,097 markets for $8.4M total volume
- They bought Alexander Blockx at 24¢, a clear underdog price that implies strong disagreement with the market
$5,864 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp cluster buys underdog
Three wallets piled into Alexander Blockx during a 47x volume surge, including one highly profitable bettor up $6.4M lifetime, making this coordinated underdog buying worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets bought Alexander Blockx for $6.1k during a 47x jump in market activity
- One of the wallets wins 73% of 3,467 resolved bets and is up $6.4M lifetime
- Most of the cluster paid 44-46¢ while the market is now 34¢, so this is conviction buying into a falling price
$6,113 on Alexander Blockx
Profitable new wallet buying early
A very new wallet has already made nine notable bets, is profitable early, and bought Garin at 37¢ before the market moved sharply to 52%, suggesting real conviction rather than routine activity.
- This wallet is less than a day old, has already made 9 notable bets, and is up $3.3k early
- They bought Cristian Garin at 37¢, and the market is now 52¢, a fast 15-point move in their favor
- The bet is meaningful at $1.6k and came from a wallet already showing active sizing across 7 positions
$1,632 on Cristian Garin | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp bettor bought early
A proven high-volume sharp bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit bought Garin at 39¢, well below the current 52¢ market price.
- This bettor has won 73% of 3,467 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They bought Cristian Garin at 39¢, and the market has already moved to 52¢
- This wallet has traded across 1,095 markets, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
$2,824 on Cristian Garin | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active and profitable sports trader with 1,144 resolved bets and $1.41M profit is taking a fresh position on Cristian Garin at 41¢, making this worth surfacing despite only a moderate composite score.
- This bettor has won 70% of 1,144 resolved trades and is up $1.4M lifetime
- They regularly trade across events at scale, with $256.8k tracked across 38 event markets
- Bought Cristian Garin at 41¢, a clear fresh position near the current ask in a liquid market
$1,503 on Cristian Garin | Wallet win rate: 70%
Perfect-record sports bettor
A highly proven sports trader with a massive resolved sample and perfect recorded history just put $6.2k on Alexander Blockx, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor has 1,127 wins in 1,127 resolved markets and is up $88.7k overall
- They trade across many related events with a strong record, covering 33 markets in 31 events
- They just bought Alexander Blockx at 63¢ with a $6.2k position, a meaningful stake in this match
$6,231 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x9f13...e0fd — Outcome 10195960, $22,134 (70% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10195960, $14,185 (73% win rate)
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 10195960, $4,017 (76% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 10195960, $3,380 (44% win rate)
- 0xc922...2618 — Outcome 78659788, $2,951 (51% win rate)
- 0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 10195960, $2,942 (55% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 10195960, $2,778 (67% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 10195960, $2,500 (88% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 10195960, $2,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 10195960, $2,000 (75% win rate)
