Part of: Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,838.

Notable Trades

86% win-rate sports sharp

A proven high-volume sports bettor with an 86% win rate bought Medvedev into a sharp pre-match volume and price surge, making this momentum-backed favorite worth tracking.

This bettor has won 444 of 514 resolved bets across 390 events, showing a strong record at scale.
They bought Medvedev at 85¢ as the market jumped 23 points in a heavy pre-match volume surge.
The trade follows broad momentum in a liquid tennis market, suggesting conviction rather than a random small bet.

$1,866 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 85%

93% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Medvedev at 71¢ before the market moved to 76¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest size.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $455k across 176 bets
They bought Medvedev at 71¢ and the market has already moved up to 76¢
This wallet has bet across 83 events with the same strong hit rate, pointing to a repeatable edge

$1,486 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 93%

6-wallet Medvedev pile-in

Six wallets piled into Medvedev for over $20k during a heavy pre-match volume surge, and those buys from 61-79¢ were quickly validated as the market moved to 100%.

Six wallets bought Medvedev in the same window, putting $20.5k behind one side of the match.
They entered mostly at 61-79¢, and the market has since moved to 100¢ after a 16x jump in trading activity.
This is coordinated directional flow in a sports market with more than $500k of 24h volume, making it a strong momentum signal.

$20,486 on Daniil Medvedev

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11100698, $49,683 (67% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 11100698, $27,203 (55% win rate)
0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 11100698, $12,044 (76% win rate)
0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 11100698, $11,806 (74% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 11100698, $7,751 (80% win rate)
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 11100698, $3,706
0x4df3...788f — Outcome 11100698, $3,156 (70% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 11100698, $2,500 (90% win rate)
0xe5b3...49f8 — Outcome 11100698, $2,162 (80% win rate)
0x2dc3...9d67 — Outcome 11100698, $1,963 (37% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan

ResolvedMadrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan$23,838 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Fabian Marozsan. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.