Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala

This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Elise Mertens and Alexandra Eala, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, special cancellation rules apply. With $9,476 in smart money tracked and recent signals highlighting both sharp favorite backing and respected underdog action, traders are watching this tennis prediction market closely.

This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Alexandra Eala in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Alexandra Eala. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Eala' if Alexandra Eala advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,055.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

88% win-rate sports bettor

An 88% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Elise Mertens at 84¢ just before a sharp move to 90% during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 196 markets and has placed over $4.3M in sports and event bets
  • They bought Elise Mertens at 84¢ and the market is now 90%, so the trade moved in their favor quickly
  • Market volume surged more than 200x its normal pace, which supports the idea that sharp money piled in before the price jump

$9,476 on Elise Mertens | Wallet win rate: 88%

94% win-rate underdog bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% win rate bought the underdog at 16¢ during a major volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $450k across 174 bets
  • They bought Alexandra Eala at 16¢, a price that implies a roughly 6-to-1 payoff if they are right
  • This wallet has bet across 68 events with the same strong results, and this market just saw a sharp volume spike

$2,288 on Alexandra Eala | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp cluster backing favorite

Three wallets piled $13.3k into Elise Mertens during a massive volume spike, including one highly profitable high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M P&L.

  • Three wallets bought Elise Mertens within seconds of each other for $13.3k total.
  • One of the bettors wins 73% of 3,487 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • The market saw a 293x volume spike and Mertens is already up 12 points on the day, confirming strong momentum.

$13,291 on Elise Mertens

Top Holders

  1. 0xba81...dc35 Alexandra Eala, $18,584 (93% win rate)
  2. 0xee61...debf Elise Mertens, $18,182 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xd3df...82fa Alexandra Eala, $15,883 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x2dc8...47d0 Elise Mertens, $8,016
  5. 0xe8d7...1252 Elise Mertens, $5,560 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x38ea...e61a Elise Mertens, $3,500
  7. 0x710c...78ea Elise Mertens, $3,292
  8. 0xc58a...b8f8 Elise Mertens, $2,337 (77% win rate)
  9. 0x1f4a...b319 Elise Mertens, $2,000
  10. 0x10ff...5088 Alexandra Eala, $1,837 (53% win rate)

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Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala

6d$25,055 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames
Elise Mertens
100¢
Alexandra Eala
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Alexandra Eala in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Alexandra Eala. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Eala' if Alexandra Eala advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Elise Mertens
102¢
76¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala

3h ago

$9,476 on Elise Mertens at 84¢

84¢100¢16¢

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala

3h ago

$2,288 on Alexandra Eala at 16¢

16¢0¢16¢

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Alexandra Eala

3h ago

$13,291 on Elise Mertens at 84¢

84¢100¢16¢

Related Theses