Part of: Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,412.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Repeat new-wallet cluster on Mertens

Three wallets, including a 3-day-old repeat high-stakes account, piled $8k into Mertens at 57-62¢ and the market quickly moved to 70¢, making this coordinated buying worth surfacing despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets bought Elise Mertens in a tight burst at 57-62¢ for $8.1k total, and the price is now 70¢.
  • One wallet is just 3 days old but has already triggered 30 large-bet alerts with $48.4k flagged, which points to aggressive repeat conviction.
  • Two wallets have massive betting history, including one up $1.28M lifetime, so this was not just a random small-player move.

$8,050 on Elise Mertens

3-wallet underdog cluster

Three wallets piled into the underdog side during a 35x volume spike, and one of them is a very active profitable bettor, making this coordinated Pliskova buy flow worth watching despite the modest total size.

  • Three wallets all bought Karolina Pliskova as the underdog, with entries from 17¢ to 30¢.
  • The market saw a 35x volume spike, suggesting traders rushed in around the same thesis.
  • One wallet is up $1.28M lifetime, which adds some credibility to the cluster even though the total size is only $3.4k.

$3,362 on Karolina Pliskova

Top Holders

  1. 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 10168403, $19,258 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 10168403, $2,965 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xc105...c1b0 — Outcome 10168403, $1,610
  4. 0x6814...a9e7 — Outcome 10168403, $1,269 (56% win rate)
  5. 0x41c2...b6a5 — Outcome 10168403, $1,226 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x8816...7738 — Outcome 10168403, $962 (90% win rate)
  7. 0x31d4...5c13 — Outcome 10168403, $834
  8. 0x0bf7...43a2 — Outcome 10168403, $816
  9. 0x48de...95ba — Outcome 10168403, $584 (79% win rate)
  10. 0xa177...4b0d — Outcome 10168403, $371

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova

ResolvedMadrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova$11,412 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Karolina Pliskova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Karolina Pliskova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Pliskova' if Karolina Pliskova advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova

45d ago

$8,050 on Elise Mertens at 59¢

Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova

45d ago

$3,362 on Karolina Pliskova at 25¢