Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo

This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Elmer Moeller and Gabriel Diallo, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and it is set to resolve by May 1, 2026 if a winner is determined under the market rules. PolySpotter also shows smart money activity on this market, including a recent alert tied to a high win-rate sharp bettor.

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Gabriel Diallo in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Gabriel Diallo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,595.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

94% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% win rate bought Gabriel Diallo at 61¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market now sitting lower at 50¢.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $450,588 across 174 resolved positions
  • They have placed $414,571 across 70 events, which points to a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Gabriel Diallo at 61¢, and the market is now 50¢, offering a better entry than the original trade

$4,733 on Gabriel Diallo | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $450k profit is backing Gabriel Diallo at 63¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $450k across 174 resolved bets
  • They have bet $410k across 69 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Gabriel Diallo at 63¢, a clear directional bet from a proven sports trader

$3,862 on Gabriel Diallo | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Elmer Moeller, $17,924 (73% win rate)
  2. 0xba81...dc35 Gabriel Diallo, $13,906 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x8a6c...0b3f Gabriel Diallo, $8,941 (39% win rate)
  4. 0x7760...21f0 Gabriel Diallo, $4,937 (56% win rate)
  5. 0x65b9...ff15 Elmer Moeller, $4,836 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x84ad...bfb7 Gabriel Diallo, $4,679 (60% win rate)
  7. 0xec59...bb35 Gabriel Diallo, $4,421 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xe4d3...c2f0 Gabriel Diallo, $4,041 (67% win rate)
  9. 0x8e8c...65dd Elmer Moeller, $2,675 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x2005...75ea Elmer Moeller, $2,479 (54% win rate)

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Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo

6d$8,595 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames
Elmer Moeller
62¢
Gabriel Diallo
38¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Gabriel Diallo in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Gabriel Diallo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Elmer Moeller
71¢
56¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo

3h ago

$4,733 on Gabriel Diallo at 61¢

61¢38¢23¢

Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo

3h ago

$3,862 on Gabriel Diallo at 63¢

63¢38¢25¢

Related Theses

Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo Odds | Madrid Open | PolySpotter