Part of: Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherot
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherot
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,687.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet pressing edge
A 13-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits bought Valentin Vacherot as the market was ripping higher, suggesting real conviction worth watching.
- This 13-day-old wallet has already been flagged 14 times for large bets and is up $1.1k early.
- They bought Valentin Vacherot at 58¢ as the price jumped 17 points in 4 minutes, showing strong conviction.
- The bettor is adding size in a liquid tennis market rather than punting on a dead market.
$1,545 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 85%
96% win-rate sports sharp
A highly proven sports trader with a 96% win rate made a nearly $10k buy on the favorite during a major volume spike and price move, making this a credible signal despite the rich price.
- This bettor wins 96% of their trades across 1,909 settled markets and is up $112.6k lifetime.
- They put nearly $10k on Valentin Vacherot at 90¢ as this market saw a 29x volume spike and a 17-point move upward.
- The price is expensive, but this wallet has a long history of being right across 107 separate events.
$9,970 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 97%
74% winner fades favorite
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a 74% win rate sold the favorite at 75¢, which translates to buying Emilio Nava around 25¢ after a sharp move toward Vacherot.
- This bettor has won 74% of 991 resolved markets and is up about $149k lifetime
- They sold the 75¢ favorite, which is equivalent to buying Emilio Nava near 25¢
- The move came during a fast 17-point price jump toward Vacherot, suggesting they stepped in against momentum at a cheap price
$1,968 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor fading favorite
A high-volume sports bettor with a strong long-term record sold the heavy favorite, which converts to buying Emilio Nava around 12¢ after a sharp move toward Vacherot.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades across 991 bets and is up about $149k lifetime
- They are taking the underdog side at roughly 12¢ by selling the 88¢ favorite after a fast 17-point move
- This wallet trades heavily across sports events with nearly $1.5M deployed, so this looks more like a deliberate price fade than a random small bet
$1,320 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 75%
86% win-rate sports grinder
A very active sports trader with an 86% win rate bought the favorite as the market was rapidly moving higher, suggesting this is a sharp momentum follow despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 499 bets and has traded 381 events
- They bought Valentin Vacherot at 89¢ while the price jumped 17 points in 4 minutes
- The bet is small versus this wallet's history, but it follows a trader with a long record of calling match markets right
$1,201 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 85%
94% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Valentin Vacherot at 70¢ amid a major pre-match volume surge, making this a strong follow signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $450k across 174 bets.
- They have made similar bets across 66 events with the same 94% hit rate, which points to a repeatable edge.
- They bought Valentin Vacherot at 70¢ as market activity jumped 244x above normal before the match.
$4,330 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Three wallets piled into Emilio Nava around 30-31¢, led by a highly profitable 73% win-rate trader and another seven-figure winner, creating a coordinated underdog bet worth watching.
- A bettor who wins 73% of their trades and is up $6.4M joined this buy at 30-31¢.
- Three wallets all bet Emilio Nava in the same burst, including one trader who sold Vacherot at 76¢ to flip into the other side.
- The market saw a 244x volume spike, and buying at 30¢ implies they think Nava's true chances are much higher.
$4,785 on Emilio Nava
94% winner leads cluster
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate led a 3-wallet one-sided cluster into Valentin Vacherot during a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth following.
- One of the buyers wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $450k, which makes this 69-72¢ entry stand out.
- Three wallets piled into Valentin Vacherot for $16.2k during a 152x volume spike, a strong sign of shared conviction.
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like sharp agreement than a random punt in a dead market.
$16,160 on Valentin Vacherot
Sharp sports bettor cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 73% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster on a sharply elevated-volume tennis market, making this underdog entry worth surfacing.
- This bettor has won 2,528 of 3,485 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- Three wallets all bought Emilio Nava, and this wallet entered at 31¢ on the same side.
- Market volume is running 152x above normal, so this bet is landing into unusual activity rather than routine flow.
$1,938 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 68%
94% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and large cross-market sample is backing Valentin Vacherot at 67¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $450k across 174 bets
- They have made profitable calls across 64 different events, which points to repeatable skill rather than a one-off hit
- They bought Valentin Vacherot at 67¢, pricing this as a solid favorite with room up to roughly 74¢
$1,469 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 10811434, $28,544 (80% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Outcome 10811434, $17,360 (93% win rate)
- 0x51eb...6bfa — Outcome 10811434, $11,078 (97% win rate)
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 10811434, $4,371 (81% win rate)
- 0x9c87...2e1c — Outcome 10811434, $3,970 (81% win rate)
- 0x6aee...fad4 — Outcome 10811434, $2,098 (61% win rate)
- 0x5444...bbda — Outcome 10811434, $1,099 (63% win rate)
- 0xb272...ee5a — Outcome 10811434, $1,068 (26% win rate)
- 0x3c83...8be7 — Outcome 10811434, $970
- 0x840d...3708 — Outcome 10811434, $955
Related Theses
Iran leadership changes by December
Covers 6 related markets
