Part of: Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Li
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Li
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $71,687.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp contrarian rebuy
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate reopened Iga Swiatek at 34¢ during a major volume and price collapse, making this a notable sharp contrarian stab despite the market moving hard against them.
- This bettor has won 2,540 of 3,502 resolved markets and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- They reopened Iga Swiatek at 34¢ after previously closing a position, so this was fresh conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The market saw a 16.7x volume spike and Iga's price crashed 28 points, suggesting they stepped in during a fast repricing.
$1,380 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 67%
6-wallet Ann Li pile-in
Six wallets piled into Ann Li as the market flipped sharply, including serial cross-market bettors with solid histories and a new wallet repeatedly betting size.
- Six wallets bought Ann Li for $14.5k in a tight burst, pushing the market from longshot territory to 62%.
- Two of the wallets are heavy repeat traders across 72 and 459 events, with reported win rates of 73% and 62%.
- Several entries came at 46¢ to 53¢, well below the current 62%, while one new wallet has already been flagged 5 times for large early bets.
$14,492 on Ann Li
Repeat new wallet catching moves
A very new wallet with repeated large flagged bets bought Iga at 62¢ before a 19-point move to 80%, suggesting strong momentum-following or informed conviction despite limited resolved history.
- This wallet is only 8 days old but has already triggered 22 large-bet alerts totaling $28.4k
- They bought Iga at 62¢ and the market has since jumped to 80¢, a fast 19-point move in their favor
- The bet is small versus this market's deep liquidity, but the timing before the price surge makes it worth watching
$989 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A proven profitable cross-market sports bettor with a 73% win rate bought into a match after a sharp 19-point price move, making this a modest but followable signal despite the small size in a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 73% of 79 resolved markets and is up $21k overall
- They trade across many related events — 71 events and 80 markets suggests a repeatable process, not a one-off bet
- They bought Iga at 81¢ after a 19-point move, showing they still see value even after the market repriced
$1,552 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 81%
6-wallet Swiatek pile-in
Six wallets piled into Iga Swiatek for nearly $11k during a sharp repricing, led by one extremely profitable bettor who bought as low as 59¢ before the market moved to 80¢.
- One wallet in this cluster wins 73% of 3,502 resolved bets and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- The group put nearly $11k on Swiatek in 6 trades as the market swung hard, with buys as low as 59¢ and the price now at 80¢.
- Several wallets are new or lightly tracked, which adds conviction to the coordinated move rather than looking like routine market-making.
$10,892 on Iga Swiatek
85% win-rate sports regular
A high-volume serial sports trader with an 85% win rate is buying the favorite during a strong volume spike, making this a modest but still followable signal despite the rich price.
- This bettor has won 206 of 242 resolved markets, an 85% hit rate across more than $1.0M traded
- They bought Iga Swiatek at 86¢ during a 41x volume spike, suggesting this matches broader market flow
- The edge looks smaller here because they usually win on heavy favorites, but this wallet's long track record still makes the trade worth watching
$2,784 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 85%
4-wallet Swiatek pile-in
Four wallets piled nearly $40k into Swiatek at 80-86¢ during a huge volume spike, led by an 85% win-rate serial cross-market trader, making this coordinated favorite bet worth tracking despite mixed wallet quality.
- Four wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $39.6k behind Swiatek.
- One of the buyers wins 85% of bets across 241 events, giving this cluster at least one strong signal to follow.
- They bought around 80¢ during a massive volume surge, suggesting a strong consensus that Swiatek was mispriced after the selloff.
$39,599 on Iga Swiatek
Top Holders
- 0x9451...c3f9 — Outcome 18852888, $13,447 (24% win rate)
- 0xba8d...67f0 — Outcome 18852888, $6,215
- 0x710c...78ea — Outcome 18852888, $4,335 (90% win rate)
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 18852888, $3,739 (100% win rate)
- 0x779a...b689 — Outcome 18852888, $2,212 (73% win rate)
- 0x18d2...a67d — Outcome 18852888, $2,051 (50% win rate)
- 0x98d4...bb14 — Outcome 18852888, $1,940
- 0xbd2d...0344 — Outcome 18852888, $1,595 (82% win rate)
- 0xede0...ff11 — Outcome 18852888, $1,296 (82% win rate)
- 0x51eb...6bfa — Outcome 18852888, $1,096 (97% win rate)
