Part of: Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen

Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,158.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

94% win-rate underdog bet

A bettor with a 94% win rate bought the underdog at 18¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a notable sharp sports bet despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $451k lifetime.
  • They bought Jan-Lennard Struff at 18¢, a cheap underdog price that would pay about 5.6x if correct.
  • The market saw a 532x volume spike and Struff had already dropped 28.5 points in a day, suggesting active repricing before the match.

$1,227 on Jan-Lennard Struff | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp bettor leads cluster

A proven 94% win-rate bettor bought Jan-Lennard Struff alongside two other wallets during a major volume spike, creating coordinated one-sided flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of their trades and is up $450k bought Struff in this cluster.
  • Three wallets put $7.6k on the same side during a 49.7x volume spike in this match market.
  • The sharp wallet bought at 28¢ while Struff sits at 28%, after the price had already fallen 24 points.

$7,558 on Jan-Lennard Struff

76% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate across 712 resolved markets bought Alex Michelsen during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the price slipping slightly after entry.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades across 712 resolved markets and is up about $150k lifetime.
  • They have traded 547 events and put nearly $5k on Alex Michelsen at 75¢, showing repeatable sports-market activity.
  • Market volume jumped nearly 50x versus normal before the match, suggesting informed money was moving into this line.

$4,962 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable new sports bettor

A 21-day-old repeat bettor with early profits and an 88% win rate is making another sizable sports bet, suggesting this wallet may be worth following despite the modest composite score.

  • This 21-day-old wallet has already been flagged 19 times and has put $69k to work
  • This bettor has won 7 of 8 resolved trades and is up $1.8k so far
  • They bought Struff at 55¢ in a reasonably active market, showing fresh conviction rather than routine profit-taking

$2,411 on Jan-Lennard Struff | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 10570092, $15,343 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xba81...dc35 Outcome 10570092, $13,816 (93% win rate)
  3. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 10570092, $11,450 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xf38d...18ce Outcome 10570092, $5,129 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x16ca...32f6 Outcome 10570092, $4,850
  6. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 10570092, $3,094 (76% win rate)
  7. 0x625e...4de3 Outcome 10570092, $2,685 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x2849...f987 Outcome 10570092, $2,603
  9. 0xb2e6...9110 Outcome 10570092, $2,300
  10. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 10570092, $2,089 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

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Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen

ResolvedMadrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen$16,158 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Alex Michelsen in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen

44d ago

$1,227 on Jan-Lennard Struff at 18¢

Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen

44d ago

$7,558 on Jan-Lennard Struff at 28¢

Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen

44d ago

$4,962 on Alex Michelsen at 75¢

Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen

45d ago

$2,411 on Jan-Lennard Struff at 55¢

Related Theses