Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Joao Fonseca and Marin Cilic, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation or long delays covered by the market rules, and is set to resolve by May 1, 2026. PolySpotter also shows smart money activity on this match, including recent action from a 92% win-rate bettor.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Marin Cilic in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,393.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% win-rate bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and strong historical edge is backing Joao Fonseca, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 92% of their trades across 1,199 resolved markets and is up $257k
- Their average winning price is 53¢, so buying at 76¢ still fits a track record of beating the market
- The bet is modest at $1.4k, but it stands out because it comes from a wallet with a long, proven edge
$1,393 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Marin Cilic, $2,908 (76% win rate)
- 0x1733...1e15 — Joao Fonseca, $1,833 (92% win rate)
- 0xa1a9...e22e — Marin Cilic, $1,282
- 0x2f2b...0f9a — Joao Fonseca, $594 (94% win rate)
- 0x85d5...bbf0 — Marin Cilic, $510
- 0x400d...e759 — Joao Fonseca, $400 (92% win rate)
- 0x6077...3231 — Joao Fonseca, $392
- 0x5d9e...e0e3 — Joao Fonseca, $280
- 0xa6df...588c — Joao Fonseca, $217
- 0x3865...fcbe — Joao Fonseca, $171
