Part of: Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic

Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,799.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

93% win-rate underdog buyer

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 93% win rate bought the underdog at 23¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $444k across 175 bets.
  • They bought Marin Cilic at 23¢, a price that implies a roughly 4.3x payoff if they are right.
  • This wallet has traded 78 related events and markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,406 on Marin Cilic | Wallet win rate: 93%

92% win-rate bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and strong historical edge is backing Joao Fonseca, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades across 1,199 resolved markets and is up $257k
  • Their average winning price is 53¢, so buying at 76¢ still fits a track record of beating the market
  • The bet is modest at $1.4k, but it stands out because it comes from a wallet with a long, proven edge

$1,393 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3865...fcbe Outcome 24754215, $171 (69% win rate)
  2. 0xb2e7...1f75 Outcome 24754215, $90
  3. 0x236d...364c Outcome 24754215, $39
  4. 0x0074...a982 Outcome 24754215, $17
  5. 0x1ab4...20e3 Outcome 24754215, $11
  6. 0x1e4d...4b17 Outcome 86133083, $9
  7. 0x4cf2...88ca Outcome 24754215, $4
  8. 0x525a...9d3e Outcome 24754215, $2

Related Theses

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Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic

ResolvedMadrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic$2,799 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Marin Cilic in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic

44d ago

$1,406 on Marin Cilic at 23¢

Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic

45d ago

$1,393 on Joao Fonseca at 76¢

Related Theses