Madrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williams
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Venus Williams, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation or a delay of more than 7 days resulting in special resolution rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,478 in smart money activity on this match, including recent signals pointing to underdog interest.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Venus Williams in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Venus Williams. This market will resolve to 'Venus Williams' if Venus Williams advances against Kaitlin Quevedo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,216.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
97% winner fading favorite
A serial cross-market trader with a 97% win rate sold Kaitlin at 81¢, which converts to a Venus buy around 19¢ and is notable despite the modest size because of the wallet’s unusually strong long-term record.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades across 466 bets and has traded 342 markets
- They sold the 81¢ favorite, which is equivalent to buying Venus Williams around 19¢
- The trade is small for this wallet and came in a liquid market, so the edge here is more about the bettor’s track record than raw conviction
$1,478 on Venus Williams | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp bettor on underdog
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate bought the underdog Venus Williams during an extreme pre-match volume spike, suggesting informed conviction despite the market moving against them afterward.
- This bettor has won 2,302 of 3,155 resolved trades and is up $5.9M lifetime.
- They specialize in event-wide trading across 816 events, which makes this a strong signal rather than a random one-off bet.
- They bought Venus at 20¢ during a 179x volume spike, implying they saw the underdog as mispriced.
$1,250 on Venus Williams | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 69% win rate and $181k profit is buying into a match seeing an unusually large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 69% of 635 resolved trades and is up about $181k overall
- The market is seeing a 179x volume spike, suggesting unusual attention ahead of the match
- They bought Kaitlin Quevedo at 83¢, a sizable $2.5k position from a proven active trader
$2,487 on Kaitlin Quevedo | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x996a...e3cc — Kaitlin Quevedo, $57,516 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Venus Williams, $43,646 (73% win rate)
- 0x0c45...0ac6 — Venus Williams, $28,453 (23% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Kaitlin Quevedo, $25,181 (80% win rate)
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Kaitlin Quevedo, $10,950 (94% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Kaitlin Quevedo, $10,768 (55% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Venus Williams, $9,467 (50% win rate)
- 0xd5d4...8b32 — Venus Williams, $7,675
- 0xbdb0...f8ba — Kaitlin Quevedo, $6,686 (82% win rate)
- 0xdcbf...d37f — Venus Williams, $5,867 (46% win rate)
