Part of: Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic

Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,104.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New wallet buys the dip

A 13-day-old wallet made a $3.5k buy into a tennis market during an extreme pre-match volume spike after a sharp price drop, suggesting fresh conviction on an underdog entry.

  • A 13-day-old wallet opened a fresh $3.5k position with no prior history, so this looks like new conviction rather than routine rebalancing.
  • The market saw a 99.9x volume spike, and this buy came after Lorenzo Sonego dropped 11 points in about 5 minutes.
  • Entry around 26¢ means the bettor is backing a live underdog at roughly 3.8x payout if Sonego wins.

$3,520 on Lorenzo Sonego | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp sports bettor buys favorite

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate and $6.1M P&L bought Dusan Lajovic into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 3,307 resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across sports and events at scale, with over $8.0M flagged in cross-market activity
  • The buy came during a 271x volume spike, suggesting stronger-than-usual conviction on Lajovic at 74¢

$5,277 on Dusan Lajovic | Wallet win rate: 68%

Proven sharp tennis bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.1M P&L bought Dusan Lajovic at 60¢, and the market has already moved to 70¢.

  • This bettor has won 2,398 of 3,307 resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime
  • They bought Dusan Lajovic at 60¢ and the market has already moved to 70¢
  • This wallet has traded across 1,045 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$2,148 on Dusan Lajovic | Wallet win rate: 68%

94% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate made a large buy into an extremely thin tennis market, making this a credible copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $380k on $1.17M invested.
  • They bought Dusan Lajovic at 56¢ in a market with just $59 of 24-hour volume, showing clear conviction.
  • This wallet has traded 36 related events for over $209k total, so this looks like a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off punt.

$1,159 on Dusan Lajovic | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa3f8...4682 Outcome 67927158, $13,743 (87% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 67927158, $2,808 (68% win rate)
  3. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 67927158, $2,181 (77% win rate)
  4. 0x0c1e...67ba Outcome 67927158, $1,851 (0% win rate)
  5. 0x081e...f76e Outcome 67927158, $1,524 (92% win rate)
  6. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 67927158, $1,436
  7. 0xe5b3...49f8 Outcome 67927158, $1,423 (79% win rate)
  8. 0xa373...cbdc Outcome 67927158, $1,079
  9. 0xc57d...75bb Outcome 67927158, $930
  10. 0xf2f6...679e Outcome 67927158, $867 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic

ResolvedMadrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic$12,104 tracked4 signalsTennisGamesSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Dusan Lajovic in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Dusan Lajovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic

44d ago

$3,520 on Lorenzo Sonego at 26¢

Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic

44d ago

$5,277 on Dusan Lajovic at 74¢

Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic

44d ago

$2,148 on Dusan Lajovic at 60¢

Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovic

45d ago

$1,159 on Dusan Lajovic at 56¢

Related Theses