Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka
This Polymarket covers the Madrid Open match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Reilly Opelka, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. Traders are betting on which player will advance, with the market resolving to the winner of the match or voiding if it is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days. The market is set to resolve by April 30, 2026, and PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,445 in smart money activity across 1 signal.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Reilly Opelka in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Reilly Opelka. This market will resolve to 'Reilly Opelka' if Reilly Opelka advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,444.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
76% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume sports bettor with a strong long-term record is taking Reilly Opelka at even odds, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 76% of 792 resolved trades and is up $385k lifetime
- They have bet across 48 separate events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge
- They bought Reilly Opelka at 50¢, suggesting they see the match as better than a coin flip
$1,445 on Reilly Opelka | Wallet win rate: 76%
94% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and strong historical edge is backing Reilly Opelka at 52¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $412k across 172 resolved positions
- They have a long track record across 57 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Buying Opelka at 52¢ means they likely see the match as clearly better than a coin flip
$2,000 on Reilly Opelka | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xea32...8870 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $12,055 (43% win rate)
- 0x0979...8d9b — Reilly Opelka, $11,027 (58% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Reilly Opelka, $9,302 (94% win rate)
- 0x7002...395c — Reilly Opelka, $6,996 (39% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $6,653 (55% win rate)
- 0x187b...26bf — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $6,000 (46% win rate)
- 0x4f75...af7e — Reilly Opelka, $5,709 (57% win rate)
- 0x3295...8975 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $4,003 (37% win rate)
- 0x6814...a9e7 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $3,278
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Reilly Opelka, $2,889 (76% win rate)
