Part of: Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $97,609.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

3-wallet Opelka cluster

Coordinated buying by 3 wallets on Opelka during a 24.7x volume spike is worth tracking, especially with this wallet’s large sample of profitable cross-market trading.

  • Three wallets bought Reilly Opelka together for $8.7k as volume jumped 24.7x above normal
  • This wallet has 194 resolved bets, wins 58% of them, and is up about $290k lifetime
  • They paid 57¢ for Opelka, suggesting they saw value before the market slipped back to 52¢

$1,368 on Reilly Opelka | Wallet win rate: 69%

3-wallet tennis pile-in

Three experienced high-volume wallets piled $16k into the same side within seconds as this tennis market exploded higher, suggesting coordinated conviction ahead of a decisive move.

  • Three wallets bought the same side within seconds, putting $16,011 behind Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
  • The market saw a 49.7x volume spike and Kjaer jumped 11 points in about 3 minutes
  • One of the wallets is up $1.1M lifetime, although the group’s win rates are only around 50%

$16,011 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable sports trader with a solid 67% hit rate is buying into a major pre-match volume surge at 45¢, suggesting a thesis worth tracking despite only a mid-level composite score.

  • This bettor has won 34 of 51 resolved trades and is up about $52k overall
  • They trade across many events and stepped into this match during a 172x volume spike
  • Bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 45¢, a modest underdog price in a market with heavy activity

$2,565 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp-led 6-wallet cluster

A 6-wallet, $67.6k one-sided push into Reilly Opelka looks worth surfacing because it came with an extreme volume spike and includes at least one elite 94% win-rate sports trader, even though several other wallets in the cluster have weak records.

  • Six wallets piled $67.6k into Reilly Opelka in a tight burst, a strong one-sided signal on this match
  • The market saw a 191x volume spike, suggesting fast money rushed in around the same thesis
  • One wallet in the group wins 94% of resolved bets and is up about $412k, buying Opelka at 52¢ before the price moved to 57¢

$67,618 on Reilly Opelka

94% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% win rate put $6.6k on Reilly Opelka at 52¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $412k lifetime
  • They have done this across 59 different events, so this is a repeatable pattern rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Reilly Opelka at 52¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see clear value

$6,603 on Reilly Opelka | Wallet win rate: 93%

76% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume sports bettor with a strong long-term record is taking Reilly Opelka at even odds, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 792 resolved trades and is up $385k lifetime
  • They have bet across 48 separate events, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge
  • They bought Reilly Opelka at 50¢, suggesting they see the match as better than a coin flip

$1,445 on Reilly Opelka | Wallet win rate: 77%

94% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and strong historical edge is backing Reilly Opelka at 52¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $412k across 172 resolved positions
  • They have a long track record across 57 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Buying Opelka at 52¢ means they likely see the match as clearly better than a coin flip

$2,000 on Reilly Opelka | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0c45...0ac6 Outcome 11556813, $53,298 (23% win rate)
  2. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 11556813, $29,429 (69% win rate)
  3. 0xba81...dc35 Outcome 11556813, $22,000 (93% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11556813, $10,845 (68% win rate)
  5. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 11556813, $2,889 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x7234...1d85 Outcome 11556813, $1,986 (84% win rate)
  7. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 11556813, $1,934
  8. 0x9f7b...7f37 Outcome 11556813, $1,866 (97% win rate)
  9. 0x51eb...6bfa Outcome 11556813, $1,860 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x3ae5...53c8 Outcome 11556813, $1,500 (49% win rate)

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Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

ResolvedMadrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka$97,609 tracked7 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Reilly Opelka in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Reilly Opelka. This market will resolve to 'Reilly Opelka' if Reilly Opelka advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

45d ago

$1,368 on Reilly Opelka at 57¢

Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

45d ago

$16,011 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 70¢

Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

45d ago

$2,565 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 45¢

Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

45d ago

$67,618 on Reilly Opelka at 53¢

Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

45d ago

$6,603 on Reilly Opelka at 52¢

Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

45d ago

$1,445 on Reilly Opelka at 50¢

Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka

45d ago

$2,000 on Reilly Opelka at 52¢

Related Theses