Madrid Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Simona Waltert
This Polymarket tracks the Madrid Open match between Oleksandra Oliynykova and Simona Waltert, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days, standard cancellation rules apply. Recent smart money activity includes underdog buying and a pro sports bettor value signal, with $3,854 in tracked smart money so far.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oleksandra Oliynykova and Simona Waltert in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oleksandra Oliynykova' if Oleksandra Oliynykova advances against Simona Waltert. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Oleksandra Oliynykova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,267.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Three wallets piled into Simona Waltert during a sharp pre-match volume spike, including one very strong bettor with a 72% win rate and $6.2M in profit.
- One of the buyers wins 72% of resolved bets and is up $6.2M lifetime.
- Three wallets all bought Simona Waltert as market volume jumped 27x above normal.
- Two wallets entered at 37¢, well below the current 36-64 market split earlier in the move.
$3,854 on Simona Waltert
Pro sports bettor value buy
A very profitable serial cross-market bettor with 3,311 resolved trades bought Simona Waltert at 52¢, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor to 40¢.
- This bettor wins 72% of 3,311 resolved trades and is up $6.2M lifetime.
- They've traded 1,048 markets across 867 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Simona Waltert at 52¢ and the market is now 40¢, showing early price improvement after their entry.
$1,413 on Simona Waltert | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x0ebb...cb1a — Simona Waltert, $17,997 (49% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Oleksandra Oliynykova, $7,749 (80% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Simona Waltert, $6,726 (72% win rate)
- 0x6eb7...a0f1 — Oleksandra Oliynykova, $6,284 (0% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Oleksandra Oliynykova, $3,693 (54% win rate)
- 0x31c1...7047 — Oleksandra Oliynykova, $2,803 (31% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Simona Waltert, $2,490 (50% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Oleksandra Oliynykova, $2,166 (61% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Simona Waltert, $1,892 (49% win rate)
- 0x51eb...6bfa — Oleksandra Oliynykova, $1,556 (96% win rate)
