Part of: Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez

Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,904.

Notable Trades

87% win-rate sports regular

A very high-win-rate serial sports trader bought into a major pre-match volume surge, suggesting flow worth following despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 87% of 482 resolved trades and has bet across 393 markets
The market saw a 48x volume spike before the match, and this wallet bought during that surge
They entered Adolfo Vallejo at 89¢ and the market is already at 92¢

$1,762 on Adolfo Vallejo | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp sports bettor on underdog

A high-volume sports bettor with a 74% win rate across 2,127 resolved markets is taking the underdog at 27¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor fade of the market favorite.

This bettor wins 74% of their trades across 2,127 resolved markets and is up $127k lifetime
They bought Pedro Martinez at 27¢ against a 74% favorite, a clear contrarian position from a proven bettor
The bet is modest versus market liquidity, so the main signal is trader skill rather than whale size

$1,564 on Pedro Martinez | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp trio buying underdog

Three wallets piled into the underdog Pedro Martinez during a major volume spike, including two high-volume profitable bettors with strong long-term records.

Two proven bettors in this cluster win 73% and 74% of their trades, with one up $5.6M lifetime
Three wallets bought Pedro Martinez at 25¢ to 33¢ as market activity jumped 37.8x above normal
They are backing the 30% side, suggesting they see the underdog as mispriced rather than chasing the favorite

$4,578 on Pedro Martinez

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10230698, $26,766 (69% win rate)
0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 10230698, $20,194 (73% win rate)
0x99d0...052d — Outcome 10230698, $2,020
0x6945...729c — Outcome 10230698, $1,129
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 10230698, $710 (62% win rate)
0xde80...d8b9 — Outcome 10230698, $641
0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 10230698, $517 (82% win rate)
0x6407...d360 — Outcome 10230698, $352 (83% win rate)
0x9f3e...a5b5 — Outcome 10230698, $287
0x691a...d113 — Outcome 10230698, $248 (87% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez

ResolvedMadrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez$7,904 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Pedro Martinez in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Pedro Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Martinez' if Pedro Martinez advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.