Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Teodora Kostovic
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open qualifying match between Anastasia Potapova and Teodora Kostovic, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with current interest boosted by sharp-money signals backing Potapova. If the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days, the market rules apply based on cancellation terms.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Potapova and Teodora Kostovic in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Potapova' if Anastasia Potapova advances against Teodora Kostovic. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Kostovic' if Teodora Kostovic advances against Anastasia Potapova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,153.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Pro sports bettor piling in
A proven profitable sports trader with 635 resolved bets and $181k profit is buying the favorite into a major pre-match volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite only moderate composite score.
- This bettor has won 69% of 635 resolved trades and is up about $181k overall
- They just put $6.8k on Potapova as volume ran 22x above normal, suggesting strong pre-match positioning
- They bought at 87¢ in a liquid market, backing the side already trading around 86%
$6,838 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 69%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet with repeated large bets across markets just put another meaningful stake into a live tennis market during a sharp volume spike, making it a plausible conviction signal despite no proven track record yet.
- This 14-day-old wallet has already been flagged 19 times for large bets, with $31.3k in total flagged volume
- The bettor just bought Potapova for $3.8k in a market seeing a 16.2x jump in trading activity
- This is fresh positioning rather than profit-taking, and the buy size is meaningful even in a liquid sports market
$3,838 on Anastasia Potapova
99% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 99% historical win rate bought Potapova, making this wallet worth following despite paying well above the current market price.
- This bettor has won 199 of 202 resolved markets and is up about $162k lifetime
- They have traded 146 markets across 145 events for nearly $495k, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Potapova at 82¢ while the market is now 70¢, so the signal is the bettor's track record more than the current entry
$1,989 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 99%
90% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 90% win rate is worth watching despite the modest ticket size and only one signal firing.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 1,299 bets and is up about $168k lifetime
- They trade heavily across sports markets — 243 events and 427 markets for about $760k total tracked volume
- Bought Potapova at 79¢, showing conviction even above the current 70¢ market price
$1,010 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 90%
4 sharp wallets on Potapova
Four experienced cross-market bettors piled into Potapova, including two wallets with extraordinary 90% and 99% win rates, making this coordinated sports flow worth following despite the price already moving below their entries.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $9.3k, including bettors winning 90% and 99% of resolved trades
- Two of these wallets have large proven profits: +$167.9k and +$161.6k lifetime
- They paid 78¢ to 85¢, while Potapova is now 76¢, giving a slightly better entry than the original buys
$9,256 on Anastasia Potapova
99% win-rate sharp bettor
A wallet with an extraordinary 99% win rate across 273 resolved bets bought Potapova at 81¢, making this a sharp bettor signal worth surfacing despite only one trade.
- This bettor wins 99% of their trades: 269 wins in 273 resolved bets
- They are up $48.4k on $167k invested, which suggests a real edge rather than lucky favorites
- They bought Potapova at 81¢ in a reasonably liquid market, signaling confidence even at a high price
$3,222 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Teodora Kostovic, $34,711 (73% win rate)
- 0x3b5c...126e — Anastasia Potapova, $34,000 (79% win rate)
- 0xde9f...d43c — Teodora Kostovic, $25,886 (50% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Anastasia Potapova, $13,850 (80% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Anastasia Potapova, $9,028 (50% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Teodora Kostovic, $8,834 (50% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Teodora Kostovic, $8,363 (54% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Anastasia Potapova, $6,853
- 0x7cb2...f12f — Anastasia Potapova, $5,500 (71% win rate)
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Teodora Kostovic, $4,813 (74% win rate)
