Part of: Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli

Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,180.

Notable Trades

Linked cluster caught 15¢ move

Three wallets, including two linked by funding source, bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in sync at 67¢ before the market moved to 82%, suggesting coordinated sharp action with immediate positive price impact.

Three wallets all bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 67¢, and the market is now 82%.
Two of the wallets share a funding source, pointing to coordinated conviction behind nearly $4.8k of buys.
One wallet has traded 351 related markets across 271 events, and the group includes bettors with six-figure to seven-figure lifetime profits.

$4,819 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Sharp bettor fades favorite

A high-volume sports bettor with a 73% win rate sold the favorite at 60¢ in a market that had seen almost no prior activity, making this a notable contrarian entry on Francesco Maestrelli.

This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $334k across 655 bets
They sold the 60¢ favorite in a market with just $84 of prior 24-hour volume, a strong conviction move
The copy-trade equivalent is buying Francesco Maestrelli around 40¢, implying they see the underdog as mispriced

$2,409 on Francesco Maestrelli | Wallet win rate: 75%

Sharp bettor in thin market

A high-volume sports bettor with a strong 73% win rate made a nearly $4k buy into an almost untouched tennis market, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine flow.

This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades across 655 bets and is up about $334k lifetime
They put nearly $4k into a market with only $84 of 24-hour volume, a very concentrated bet
Bought at 60¢ in a quiet tennis market, showing conviction before broader market activity

$3,952 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 21034251, $24,714 (70% win rate)
0xed30...1583 — Outcome 21034251, $1,940
0x0b69...e65d — Outcome 21034251, $970
0x6407...d360 — Outcome 21034251, $789 (83% win rate)
0x5471...a236 — Outcome 21034251, $443
0x72af...8a0a — Outcome 21034251, $356
0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 21034251, $271 (76% win rate)
0xa233...dfe8 — Outcome 21034251, $253
0x5628...abbc — Outcome 21034251, $226
0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 21034251, $218 (49% win rate)

Related Theses

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Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli

ResolvedMadrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli$11,180 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Francesco Maestrelli in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Francesco Maestrelli. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.