Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Katarzyna Kawa
This Polymarket covers the Madrid Open qualifying match between Nikola Bartunkova and Katarzyna Kawa, scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with current interest boosted by smart money activity around Bartunkova, including recent wallet pile-ins and a sharp re-entry. If the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days beyond the scheduled date, special resolution rules apply.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Katarzyna Kawa in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Katarzyna Kawa. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Nikola Bartunkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,819.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
3-wallet Bartunkova pile-in
Three wallets piled into Bartunkova at the same time, including one proven profitable bettor and a very active new wallet, and their buying helped lift the price sharply.
- Three wallets all bought Bartunkova within minutes, totaling $6.1k and pushing the price up about 20 points
- One of the wallets has a strong long-term record: 70% wins across 430 resolved bets and $102k profit
- A 4-day-old wallet has already made 40 flagged big bets and is up $31k, suggesting aggressive early conviction
$6,124 on Nikola Bartunkova
Profitable new wallet buying dip
A 4-day-old wallet with unusually heavy repeat activity and early profits bought Bartunkova before an 11-point rebound, suggesting this is a fresh conviction entry worth tracking.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already made 40 notable bets totaling $377k and is up $31k early
- They bought Bartunkova at 49¢ and the market is already up to 55¢, a quick 6-point move in their favor
- This is a fresh position from a bettor winning 80% of resolved trades so far
$1,446 on Nikola Bartunkova | Wallet win rate: 80%
Pro sports sharp re-entering
A very profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 73% win rate reopened a meaningful position in Bartunkova after previously closing a small stake, making this a credible sharp follow despite only one signal.
- This bettor has won 2,220 of 3,030 resolved trades and is up $5.6M overall
- They just reopened a much larger Bartunkova position with $4.2k at 65¢ after a prior tiny trade was closed
- The bet is meaningful but not market-moving in a fairly liquid tennis market, which fits a sharp bettor rather than random whale activity
$4,249 on Nikola Bartunkova | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Katarzyna Kawa, $19,144 (73% win rate)
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Nikola Bartunkova, $5,406 (70% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Katarzyna Kawa, $5,350 (50% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Nikola Bartunkova, $3,965
- 0xee61...debf — Katarzyna Kawa, $3,666 (50% win rate)
- 0x3a30...34b1 — Nikola Bartunkova, $3,464 (62% win rate)
- 0x588b...8593 — Nikola Bartunkova, $3,393 (35% win rate)
- 0x3947...b1e9 — Nikola Bartunkova, $3,009 (67% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Katarzyna Kawa, $2,982 (52% win rate)
- 0x8a67...e403 — Nikola Bartunkova, $2,978 (80% win rate)
