Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubas
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open qualifying match between Rei Sakamoto and Vilius Gaubas, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, special cancellation rules apply. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,471 in smart money activity across this market, including signals from multiple high-win-rate sports bettors.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rei Sakamoto and Vilius Gaubas in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Rei Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,527.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly 1,800 resolved positions just bought Vilius Gaubas after a rapid price move, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 96% of 1,781 resolved trades and is up about $98k lifetime
- They have bet across 77 different events with the same strong hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off win
- They bought Vilius Gaubas at 62¢ after a fast 27-point move, implying they still saw value even after momentum
$2,471 on Vilius Gaubas | Wallet win rate: 96%
Proven sharp sports bettor
A highly proven high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate and nearly $5.8M profit bought Rei Sakamoto at 60¢ before the market moved to 66¢.
- This bettor has won 2,293 of 3,137 resolved trades and is up $5.8M lifetime
- They trade heavily across markets — 795 events and $7.4M tracked — which suggests a repeatable process
- They bought Rei Sakamoto at 60¢ and the price has already moved up to 66¢
$1,257 on Rei Sakamoto | Wallet win rate: 73%
Proven sharp tennis bettor
Surface this because a highly proven serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $5.8M profit bought Vilius Gaubas, even though this specific bet is only modest size and the alert rests on a single strong signal.
- This bettor wins 73% of 3,135 resolved trades and is up $5.8M lifetime
- They trade heavily across related markets with nearly 1,000 markets tracked, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Vilius Gaubas at 55¢, a close match price that suggests a real opinion instead of chasing a long shot
$1,409 on Vilius Gaubas | Wallet win rate: 73%
Pro sports sharp, 73% win rate
A very high-volume, highly profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate is taking a fresh position on Rei Sakamoto, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.
- This bettor has won 2,292 of 3,135 resolved trades and is up $5.8M lifetime
- They have traded 970 markets across 795 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Rei Sakamoto at 53¢ in a liquid market, suggesting a modest but deliberate edge rather than random small action
$1,227 on Rei Sakamoto | Wallet win rate: 73%
High-volume sharp bettor
A very experienced and highly profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate and $5.8M P&L is taking a fresh $3.8k position on Rei Sakamoto, which is notable even though the signal is only from cross-market tracking.
- This bettor has won 2,292 of 3,135 resolved trades and is up $5.8M lifetime
- They trade heavily across markets — nearly 1,000 markets over 794 events — which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Rei Sakamoto at 51¢, and the market has since slipped to 46¢, offering a cheaper follow price than the original entry
$3,779 on Rei Sakamoto | Wallet win rate: 73%
73% win-rate serial bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $331k profit is taking a fresh near-even-money position in this tennis match, making it a reasonable copy-trade despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $331k across 655 settled bets.
- They have bet across 523 markets in 399 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off pick.
- They bought Rei Sakamoto at 50¢ in a liquid market, showing a fresh conviction call at near coin-flip odds.
$985 on Rei Sakamoto | Wallet win rate: 73%
3-wallet sharp cluster
Three wallets piled into Rei Sakamoto together, including two large highly profitable sports traders with 73% win rates, making this coordinated tennis flow worth following despite the market being fairly liquid.
- Two proven bettors with 73% win rates and $6.2M combined profit bought Rei Sakamoto here.
- Three wallets bet the same side for $7.1k total, a strong coordinated signal in a near 50/50 match.
- They entered around 50-55¢, suggesting they see Rei Sakamoto as modestly undervalued at current odds.
$7,065 on Rei Sakamoto
High-win serial sports bettor
A very active, highly profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Vilius Gaubas during a sharp pre-match volume surge, and the market has already moved well in their favor.
- This bettor has won 2,292 of 3,135 resolved trades and is up $5.85M lifetime.
- They bought Vilius Gaubas at 55¢ during a 64.9x volume spike, and the price is now 46¢.
- The trade is modest in size, but it comes from a proven cross-market bettor active across 793 events.
$1,533 on Vilius Gaubas | Wallet win rate: 73%
High-win-rate sports bettor
A very active, highly profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate put nearly $4.8k on Rei Sakamoto, making this worth tracking despite only a single signal.
- This bettor has won 73% of 3,135 resolved bets and is up $5.8M lifetime
- They trade heavily across related markets — 967 markets across 792 events for $7.4M total volume
- They bought Rei Sakamoto at 55¢, which is now available around 50¢
$4,801 on Rei Sakamoto | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Vilius Gaubas, $11,100 (70% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Vilius Gaubas, $8,441
- 0xdcbf...d37f — Rei Sakamoto, $7,407 (46% win rate)
- 0x0b71...4e79 — Vilius Gaubas, $7,026 (45% win rate)
- 0xda5f...2e9b — Rei Sakamoto, $6,542 (49% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Vilius Gaubas, $5,014 (54% win rate)
- 0x51eb...6bfa — Vilius Gaubas, $4,045 (96% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Rei Sakamoto, $3,987 (73% win rate)
- 0x775d...6beb — Vilius Gaubas, $2,549
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Rei Sakamoto, $2,480 (74% win rate)
