Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Thiago Agustin Tirante, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days, the market will resolve according to the listed market rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $13,959 in smart money activity, including a noted Tirante wallet cluster and a pro sports sharp signal on Tirante.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Bautista Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,321.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Pro sports sharp on Tirante
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.1M P&L just put nearly $14k on Tirante at 63-64¢, a meaningful signal despite only moderate composite score.
- This bettor has won 73% of 3,305 resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime.
- They just bought nearly $14k of Tirante at 63-64¢ in a single burst, a sizable stake for this match market.
- This wallet has traded 1,029 markets across 848 events, pointing to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt.
$13,959 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 73%
3-wallet Tirante cluster
Three wallets put over $11k behind Tirante during an 88x volume spike, including a very active bettor with solid profits, creating a meaningful one-sided sports signal.
- Three wallets piled into Tirante with $11.4k total as market activity jumped 88x above normal.
- One bettor in the group has over 1,000 resolved bets and is up $123k lifetime, which gives this cluster more weight than random flow.
- One trade was a sell of Bautista Agut at 35¢, which is effectively the same as buying Tirante around 65¢.
$11,362 on Thiago Agustin Tirante
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $22,066 (73% win rate)
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Roberto Bautista Agut, $14,891 (29% win rate)
- 0xc452...7234 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $6,090 (45% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $3,472 (59% win rate)
- 0xa1a9...e22e — Roberto Bautista Agut, $2,573
- 0x7138...8c89 — Roberto Bautista Agut, $2,352
- 0x7760...21f0 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $2,207 (55% win rate)
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Roberto Bautista Agut, $2,088 (76% win rate)
- 0x4b49...0397 — Roberto Bautista Agut, $2,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Roberto Bautista Agut, $2,000 (63% win rate)
