Part of: Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur

Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,689.

Notable Trades

94% win-rate contrarian

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought the longshot side after a major price move, making this a strong contrarian signal worth surfacing.

This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $450k across 174 resolved positions
They bought Damir Dzumhur at 7¢ after the price broke 30 points below its prior range
The wallet has made profitable bets across 66 separate events, which suggests this is a repeatable edge and not a one-off punt

$1,192 on Damir Dzumhur | Wallet win rate: 93%

86% win-rate serial bettor

A proven high-hit-rate sports trader with 499 resolved bets bought the favorite here, making this worth watching despite the modest composite score.

This bettor wins 86% of 499 resolved trades and has bet across 378 events
They bought Tallon Griekspoor at 83¢, backing the same side as a market that has risen 20 points in a day
The market is liquid enough that a $5.7k buy looks deliberate, not just noise

$5,747 on Tallon Griekspoor | Wallet win rate: 85%

3-wallet match-day pile-in

Three wallets piled $15.8k into Damir Dzumhur during a huge pre-match volume spike and helped push the price up nearly 16 points, suggesting real directional conviction despite mixed wallet quality.

Three wallets bought $15.8k of Damir Dzumhur in a coordinated burst as market activity ran 1614x above normal
The move pushed Dzumhur from about 40¢ to 55¢, a sharp 15.9-point jump tied to these buys
One buyer got in early at 40¢ and is already up 15 points, showing the strongest entry in the cluster

$15,750 on Damir Dzumhur

Top Holders

0xba81...dc35 — Outcome 35691625, $21,582 (93% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 35691625, $3,361 (68% win rate)
0x72a4...efad — Outcome 35691625, $2,473
0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 35691625, $2,292 (81% win rate)
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 35691625, $1,852
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 35691625, $1,608 (62% win rate)
0x9f7b...7f37 — Outcome 35691625, $1,514 (97% win rate)
0xd3d2...fe85 — Outcome 35691625, $1,374 (67% win rate)
0xae30...079e — Outcome 35691625, $1,317 (61% win rate)
0x160b...4296 — Outcome 35691625, $1,219 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur

ResolvedMadrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur$22,689 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Damir Dzumhur in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Damir Dzumhur. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Tallon Griekspoor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.