Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Tommy Paul, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, and current smart money activity shows limited but notable action, including a recent signal backing the favorite. If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, the market resolves according to its listed rules.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Tommy Paul in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,791.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Pro bettor backing favorite
A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 73% win rate is taking Tommy Paul at 68¢, making this routine-looking bet worth following despite the single-signal alert.
- This bettor has won 2,529 of 3,486 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They have bet $8.7M across 944 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off play
- They bought Tommy Paul at 68¢, pricing him as a strong favorite with room to follow up to about 75¢
$1,791 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x8a6c...0b3f — Tommy Paul, $17,718 (39% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $7,792 (62% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $5,266 (60% win rate)
- 0xa1a9...e22e — Tommy Paul, $3,085
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $2,784 (76% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Tommy Paul, $2,633 (73% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Tommy Paul, $2,068 (60% win rate)
- 0x4b49...0397 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $2,016 (75% win rate)
- 0x6814...a9e7 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $1,914
- 0xfa01...f0a7 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $1,470
