Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana
This Polymarket covers the Madrid Open tennis match between Tomas Machac and Francisco Comesana, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with current trading drawing attention after a recent alert noted a 79% bettor buying the underdog. If the match is not played or no winner is determined within 7 days of the scheduled date, the market rules apply accordingly.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Francisco Comesana in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Francisco Comesana. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,241.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
79% bettor buys underdog
A very active cross-market sports bettor with a 79% hit rate bought the underdog into an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a potentially informative dog position worth watching.
- This bettor has won 79% of 3,842 resolved trades across 216 events, showing a repeatable sports betting pattern.
- They bought Francisco Comesana at 31¢ during a 458x volume spike, suggesting unusual attention right before the match.
- The entry implies they think the underdog is materially underpriced, with roughly 3.2x payout if Comesana wins.
$5,241 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xde9f...b8f7 — Tomas Machac, $43,433 (52% win rate)
- 0x3b5c...126e — Francisco Comesana, $16,905 (79% win rate)
- 0x0979...8d9b — Tomas Machac, $10,038 (57% win rate)
- 0x7002...395c — Tomas Machac, $8,588 (39% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Francisco Comesana, $8,266 (54% win rate)
- 0x9f13...e0fd — Francisco Comesana, $6,430 (70% win rate)
- 0x7462...3ac3 — Francisco Comesana, $5,213
- 0xcec1...9c0c — Francisco Comesana, $4,945 (51% win rate)
- 0x31c1...7047 — Tomas Machac, $4,410 (31% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Francisco Comesana, $4,000
