Part of: Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana

Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,203.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

96% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 96% win rate bought the favorite into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already moving up.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up about $107k across 1,868 bets
  • They trade heavily across 92 events with the same 96% hit rate, which looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off win
  • They bought Tomas Machac at 88¢ as market volume ran 22.6x above normal and the price was already up 20 points in a day

$1,993 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 97%

73% win-rate trader

A proven profitable sports-style trader with a 73% win rate sold Francisco Comesana into a sharp 28.75-point drop, which translates to a buyable Machac signal around 65¢.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $14.6k on $115k invested
  • They trade across 57 markets in 51 events, which points to a repeatable event-trading process rather than a one-off bet
  • Their sale of Comesana at 35¢ is the same as buying Machac at 65¢, right as Comesana dropped nearly 29 points

$1,576 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 81%

4-wallet tennis dog pile

Four wallets piled into Francisco Comesana at 35-43¢ during a huge pre-match volume spike, including one extremely profitable high-volume bettor, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor.

  • Four wallets bought Francisco Comesana within minutes at 35-43¢, and the price is already up to 55¢.
  • One of the buyers wins 72% of 3,322 resolved bets and is up $6.17M lifetime.
  • This market saw a 71.9x volume spike, which makes the coordinated move more worth tracking.

$7,393 on Francisco Comesana

79% bettor buys underdog

A very active cross-market sports bettor with a 79% hit rate bought the underdog into an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a potentially informative dog position worth watching.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 3,842 resolved trades across 216 events, showing a repeatable sports betting pattern.
  • They bought Francisco Comesana at 31¢ during a 458x volume spike, suggesting unusual attention right before the match.
  • The entry implies they think the underdog is materially underpriced, with roughly 3.2x payout if Comesana wins.

$5,241 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 96677717, $6,840 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x9f13...e0fd Outcome 96677717, $6,430 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 96677717, $5,391 (90% win rate)
  4. 0x874f...a13d Outcome 96677717, $2,802 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 96677717, $2,615 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x4b49...0397 Outcome 96677717, $2,000 (74% win rate)
  7. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 96677717, $1,839 (62% win rate)
  8. 0x48de...95ba Outcome 96677717, $1,647 (80% win rate)
  9. 0x16db...8d0f Outcome 96677717, $1,483 (88% win rate)
  10. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 96677717, $1,289 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

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Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana

ResolvedMadrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana$16,203 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Francisco Comesana in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Francisco Comesana. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana

45d ago

$1,993 on Tomas Machac at 88¢

Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana

45d ago

$1,576 on Tomas Machac at 65¢

Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana

45d ago

$7,393 on Francisco Comesana at 39¢

Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana

45d ago

$5,241 on Francisco Comesana at 31¢

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